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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Wednesday, 19 October 2016 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2016-10-15 All recent draws 2016-10-21 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 26 29 34 38 39 + 4 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 October 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2016-10-19 Lines in play ≈ 1.9M as the winner counts imply Paid out £711.2K to 136k winning lines Won something 1 in 14 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0 winners chance said 0.24 Where the money went
Match 3 17% £117.6K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 33% £232.2K Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 28% £199.5K 4 other tiers 23% £162.0K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0≈ 0.24 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
124times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 75 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,045 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 0≈ 3.1 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 28≈ 41 by chance £250
Match 4 344≈ 528 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 871≈ 1.3k by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 10,314≈ 14k by chance £10.00
Match 3 11,755≈ 17k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 46,432≈ 55k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 66,513≈ 67k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈1.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 871 winners, 35% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.