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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 21 March 2015

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 8
  3. 12
  4. 14
  5. 18
  6. 4

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 28% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 799 of 3,063 under them

← 2015-03-20All recent draws2015-03-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 8 12 14 18 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 March 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

14oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 14 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd9th
  • low99th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread1th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 102 of each

7107times
8104times
1284times
1492times
18

Prize breakdown · 2015-03-21

  • Lines in play≈ 2.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.5Mto 237k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.33

Where the money went

  • Match 321%£304.4K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£434.8K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball19%£272.2K
  • 5 other tiers31%£446.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.33 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

110times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 57 of each

459times

Every number was expected about that many times after 798 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 14, 18) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 February 2014 — its closest relative in 798 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 March 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

59

The numbers add up to 59 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 56≈ 4.2 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball72≈ 55 by chance£250
  • Match 4919≈ 721 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,585≈ 1.8k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball25,452≈ 20k by chance£10.00
  • Match 330,436≈ 24k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball86,967≈ 76k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball90,733≈ 91k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 2,585 winners, 41% more than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball90,733£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball86,967£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball25,452£10.00
    Match 330,436£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,585£20.00
    Match 4919£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball72£250
    Match 56£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000