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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 21 September 2012

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 8
  4. 17
  5. 34
  6. 4

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 11% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 408 of 3,064 under them

← 2012-09-19All recent draws2012-09-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 8 17 34 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 September 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum9th
  • odd31th
  • low89th
  • widest gap79th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread65th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 52 of each

457times
544times
852times
1760times
34

Prize breakdown · 2012-09-21

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.1Mto 98k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball46%£500.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball17%£182.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball11%£116.0K
  • 6 other tiers27%£293.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

45times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

430times

Every number was expected about that many times after 407 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 17, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 August 2012 — its closest relative in 407 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 September 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

68

The numbers add up to 68 — the 9th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 1.8 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball36≈ 24 by chance£250
  • Match 4337≈ 307 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,081≈ 779 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,602≈ 8.3k by chance£10.00
  • Match 311,280≈ 10k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball36,390≈ 32k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball38,652≈ 39k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,081 winners, 39% more than the 779 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball38,652£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball36,390£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,602£10.00
    Match 311,280£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,081£20.00
    Match 4337£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball36£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000