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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 30 May 2020

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 8
  3. 20
  4. 21
  5. 25
  6. 4

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,734 of 3,064 under them

← 2020-05-29All recent draws2020-06-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 8 20 21 25 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 May 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 80% of every possible ticket.

  • sum15th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap43th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 222 of each

1211times
8215times
20235times
21242times
25

Prize breakdown · 2020-05-30

  • Lines in play≈ 2.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£988.7Kto 175k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.27

Where the money went

  • Match 319%£186.3K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£316.9K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball23%£224.2K
  • 5 other tiers26%£261.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.27 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

213times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 124 of each

4126times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,733 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 20, 21) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 September 2018 — its closest relative in 1,733 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 May 2020): 25 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

75

The numbers add up to 75 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 3.5 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball47≈ 46 by chance£250
  • Match 4557≈ 594 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,457≈ 1.5k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,964≈ 16k by chance£10.00
  • Match 318,634≈ 20k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball63,381≈ 62k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball74,731≈ 75k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 557 winners, 6% fewer than the 594 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball74,731£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball63,381£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,964£10.00
    Match 318,634£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,457£20.00
    Match 4557£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball47£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000