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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£64,403,626
The crowdHeld 11% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 868 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 January 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 93% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 87 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 145 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 867 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 24, 35) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 29 November 2022 — its closest relative in 867 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 January 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 124 — the 45th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →8 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈29M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,192,259 winners, 11% fewer than the 1.3M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,192,259 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 576,078 | £3.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 156,737 | £4.20 |
| Match 3 | 84,911 | £6.40 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 31,713 | £8.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 42,987 | £6.80 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,312 | £32.60 |
| Match 4 | 2,032 | £26.10 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,052 | £67.90 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 64 | £607 |
| Match 5 | 13 | £9,587 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 9 | £59,249 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £64,403,626 |