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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£171,815,298
The crowdHeld 18% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 626 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 90% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 63 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 104 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 625 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (14, 35) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 12 August 2022 — its closest relative in 625 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (20 September 2022): 48 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 134 — the 57th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →35 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 554 winners, 28% fewer than the 765 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €193,007,524 |
| rang2 | 1 | €144,592 |
| rang3 | 3 | €38,621 |
| rang4 | 13 | €1,080 |
| rang5 | 244 | €127 |
| rang6 | 661 | €52.40 |
| rang7 | 554 | €44.80 |
| rang8 | 10,000 | €12.50 |
| rang9 | 12,385 | €11.50 |
| rang10 | 25,709 | €10.20 |
| rang11 | 56,271 | €5.70 |
| rang12 | 189,508 | €5.50 |
| rang13 | 394,915 | €4.20 |