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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,688,000
The crowdHeld 6% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 716 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 77% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 72 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 119 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 715 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (15, 20, 31, 44) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 6 March 2018 — its closest relative in 715 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 7.3% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (1 August 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 158 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →20 had not appeared for 39 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 12,099 winners, 16% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 2 | €159,371 |
| rang3 | 0 | €16,555 |
| rang4 | 8 | €1,657 |
| rang5 | 117 | €134 |
| rang6 | 234 | €69.30 |
| rang7 | 229 | €46.30 |
| rang8 | 4,192 | €16.00 |
| rang9 | 5,630 | €12.90 |
| rang10 | 12,099 | €10.80 |
| rang11 | 23,968 | €7.00 |
| rang12 | 89,447 | €6.00 |
| rang13 | 192,928 | €4.30 |