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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£140,503,213
The crowdHeld 21% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 524 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 52 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 523 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 19, 48) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 11 January 2019 — its closest relative in 523 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (28 September 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 109 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →15 had not appeared for 38 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈9.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 504,198 winners, 21% more than the 418k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 2 | €174,231 |
| rang3 | 1 | €17,815 |
| rang4 | 19 | €1,644 |
| rang5 | 326 | €129 |
| rang6 | 653 | €68.00 |
| rang7 | 774 | €40.40 |
| rang8 | 9,376 | €16.70 |
| rang9 | 13,636 | €12.40 |
| rang10 | 34,530 | €9.10 |
| rang11 | 48,807 | €8.00 |
| rang12 | 199,506 | €6.00 |
| rang13 | 504,198 | €3.80 |