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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£55,523,057
The crowdHeld 41% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 342 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 January 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 34 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 341 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 15, 47) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 25 August 2017 — its closest relative in 341 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (31 December 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 123 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →36 had not appeared for 43 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,184,249 winners, 41% more than the 843k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,184,249 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 457,864 | £6.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 98,325 | £9.40 |
| Match 3 | 79,892 | £8.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 18,386 | £17.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 30,832 | £11.20 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,294 | £96.70 |
| Match 4 | 1,696 | £41.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 710 | £126 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 26 | £3,235 |
| Match 5 | 8 | £21,497 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 5 | £147,674 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £55,523,057 |