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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,123,600
The crowdHeld 13% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 881 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 March 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 55% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 88 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 147 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 880 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 35, 42) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 17 January 2025 — its closest relative in 880 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (28 February 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 9 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 141 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →15 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 48,863 winners, 16% fewer than the 58k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 724,716 | £3.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 344,094 | £4.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 96,708 | £4.50 |
| Match 3 | 48,863 | £7.40 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 18,059 | £9.60 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 22,979 | £8.40 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,221 | £40.60 |
| Match 4 | 1,141 | £30.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 530 | £88.60 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 28 | £911 |
| Match 5 | 5 | £16,371 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 7 | £50,034 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £14,123,600 |