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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£26,423,336
The crowdHeld 18% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 360 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 March 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 36 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 359 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 43, 46) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 20 July 2018 — its closest relative in 359 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 March 2020): 45 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 1 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 187 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 45–46. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →15 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 186,511 winners, 18% more than the 158k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €233,153 |
| rang3 | 0 | €81,738 |
| rang4 | 4 | €2,122 |
| rang5 | 69 | €207 |
| rang6 | 217 | €82.90 |
| rang7 | 234 | €56.20 |
| rang8 | 3,214 | €20.00 |
| rang9 | 4,417 | €15.80 |
| rang10 | 11,602 | €11.70 |
| rang11 | 18,405 | €8.80 |
| rang12 | 69,935 | €7.30 |
| rang13 | 186,511 | €4.60 |