Thunderball · every number · star deck
2
Star 2 In Thunderball under the 5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010 rules — 3,064 draws, 1 from 1–14.
Main numbers Stars 202 times drawn · chance expected 219 −1.18σ
6 draws waiting · a wait this long: 69% for any number
15.1 average wait between appearances · chance says 14.0
76 longest completed wait · 54% chance of one at least that long
2 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 202 times in 3,064 draws against 218.9 expected, −1.18σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
2 Number 2, draw by draw Drawn 202 times in 3,064 draws · average wait 15.1 draws · longest completed wait 76 · waiting 6 draws now
1 draws: 2010-02-24 to 2010-02-27 25 draws: 2010-02-27 to 2010-05-21 2 draws: 2010-05-21 to 2010-05-26 15 draws: 2010-05-26 to 2010-06-30 41 draws: 2010-06-30 to 2010-10-02 16 draws: 2010-10-02 to 2010-11-10 42 draws: 2010-11-10 to 2011-02-16 12 draws: 2011-02-16 to 2011-03-16 13 draws: 2011-03-16 to 2011-04-15 4 draws: 2011-04-15 to 2011-04-23 47 draws: 2011-04-23 to 2011-08-12 2 draws: 2011-08-12 to 2011-08-17 11 draws: 2011-08-17 to 2011-09-10 8 draws: 2011-09-10 to 2011-09-30 15 draws: 2011-09-30 to 2011-11-04 23 draws: 2011-11-04 to 2011-12-28 10 draws: 2011-12-28 to 2012-01-20 49 draws: 2012-01-20 to 2012-05-12 10 draws: 2012-05-12 to 2012-06-06 20 draws: 2012-06-06 to 2012-07-21 21 draws: 2012-07-21 to 2012-09-08 38 draws: 2012-09-08 to 2012-12-07 1 draws: 2012-12-07 to 2012-12-08 11 draws: 2012-12-08 to 2013-01-04 9 draws: 2013-01-04 to 2013-01-25 2 draws: 2013-01-25 to 2013-01-30 7 draws: 2013-01-30 to 2013-02-15 26 draws: 2013-02-15 to 2013-04-17 2 draws: 2013-04-17 to 2013-04-20 24 draws: 2013-04-20 to 2013-06-15 27 draws: 2013-06-15 to 2013-08-17 7 draws: 2013-08-17 to 2013-09-04 13 draws: 2013-09-04 to 2013-10-04 8 draws: 2013-10-04 to 2013-10-23 9 draws: 2013-10-23 to 2013-11-13 8 draws: 2013-11-13 to 2013-11-30 18 draws: 2013-11-30 to 2014-01-11 40 draws: 2014-01-11 to 2014-04-16 18 draws: 2014-04-16 to 2014-05-28 7 draws: 2014-05-28 to 2014-06-13 16 draws: 2014-06-13 to 2014-07-19 23 draws: 2014-07-19 to 2014-09-12 51 draws: 2014-09-12 to 2015-01-09 3 draws: 2015-01-09 to 2015-01-16 21 draws: 2015-01-16 to 2015-03-06 6 draws: 2015-03-06 to 2015-03-20 3 draws: 2015-03-20 to 2015-03-27 3 draws: 2015-03-27 to 2015-04-03 3 draws: 2015-04-03 to 2015-04-10 15 draws: 2015-04-10 to 2015-05-15 46 draws: 2015-05-15 to 2015-08-29 5 draws: 2015-08-29 to 2015-09-11 9 draws: 2015-09-11 to 2015-10-02 16 draws: 2015-10-02 to 2015-11-07 1 draws: 2015-11-07 to 2015-11-11 27 draws: 2015-11-11 to 2016-01-13 4 draws: 2016-01-13 to 2016-01-22 10 draws: 2016-01-22 to 2016-02-13 9 draws: 2016-02-13 to 2016-03-05 5 draws: 2016-03-05 to 2016-03-18 8 draws: 2016-03-18 to 2016-04-06 76 draws: 2016-04-06 to 2016-09-30 19 draws: 2016-09-30 to 2016-11-12 15 draws: 2016-11-12 to 2016-12-17 10 draws: 2016-12-17 to 2017-01-11 3 draws: 2017-01-11 to 2017-01-18 10 draws: 2017-01-18 to 2017-02-10 40 draws: 2017-02-10 to 2017-05-13 2 draws: 2017-05-13 to 2017-05-19 8 draws: 2017-05-19 to 2017-06-07 4 draws: 2017-06-07 to 2017-06-16 28 draws: 2017-06-16 to 2017-08-19 28 draws: 2017-08-19 to 2017-10-25 10 draws: 2017-10-25 to 2017-11-17 1 draws: 2017-11-17 to 2017-11-18 1 draws: 2017-11-18 to 2017-11-22 20 draws: 2017-11-22 to 2018-01-06 13 draws: 2018-01-06 to 2018-02-03 1 draws: 2018-02-03 to 2018-02-06 53 draws: 2018-02-06 to 2018-05-09 2 draws: 2018-05-09 to 2018-05-12 30 draws: 2018-05-12 to 2018-07-04 9 draws: 2018-07-04 to 2018-07-20 3 draws: 2018-07-20 to 2018-07-25 6 draws: 2018-07-25 to 2018-08-04 14 draws: 2018-08-04 to 2018-08-29 4 draws: 2018-08-29 to 2018-09-05 12 draws: 2018-09-05 to 2018-09-26 1 draws: 2018-09-26 to 2018-09-28 20 draws: 2018-09-28 to 2018-11-02 19 draws: 2018-11-02 to 2018-12-05 5 draws: 2018-12-05 to 2018-12-14 20 draws: 2018-12-14 to 2019-01-18 16 draws: 2019-01-18 to 2019-02-15 9 draws: 2019-02-15 to 2019-03-02 2 draws: 2019-03-02 to 2019-03-06 55 draws: 2019-03-06 to 2019-06-11 1 draws: 2019-06-11 to 2019-06-12 9 draws: 2019-06-12 to 2019-06-28 2 draws: 2019-06-28 to 2019-07-02 18 draws: 2019-07-02 to 2019-08-02 4 draws: 2019-08-02 to 2019-08-09 5 draws: 2019-08-09 to 2019-08-17 31 draws: 2019-08-17 to 2019-10-11 2 draws: 2019-10-11 to 2019-10-15 8 draws: 2019-10-15 to 2019-10-29 12 draws: 2019-10-29 to 2019-11-19 9 draws: 2019-11-19 to 2019-12-04 4 draws: 2019-12-04 to 2019-12-11 10 draws: 2019-12-11 to 2019-12-28 19 draws: 2019-12-28 to 2020-01-31 8 draws: 2020-01-31 to 2020-02-14 1 draws: 2020-02-14 to 2020-02-15 1 draws: 2020-02-15 to 2020-02-18 5 draws: 2020-02-18 to 2020-02-26 11 draws: 2020-02-26 to 2020-03-17 31 draws: 2020-03-17 to 2020-05-09 43 draws: 2020-05-09 to 2020-07-24 32 draws: 2020-07-24 to 2020-09-18 6 draws: 2020-09-18 to 2020-09-29 5 draws: 2020-09-29 to 2020-10-07 5 draws: 2020-10-07 to 2020-10-16 18 draws: 2020-10-16 to 2020-11-17 9 draws: 2020-11-17 to 2020-12-02 16 draws: 2020-12-02 to 2020-12-30 11 draws: 2020-12-30 to 2021-01-19 5 draws: 2021-01-19 to 2021-01-27 18 draws: 2021-01-27 to 2021-02-27 8 draws: 2021-02-27 to 2021-03-13 21 draws: 2021-03-13 to 2021-04-20 10 draws: 2021-04-20 to 2021-05-07 75 draws: 2021-05-07 to 2021-09-15 13 draws: 2021-09-15 to 2021-10-08 17 draws: 2021-10-08 to 2021-11-06 53 draws: 2021-11-06 to 2022-02-08 1 draws: 2022-02-08 to 2022-02-09 37 draws: 2022-02-09 to 2022-04-15 11 draws: 2022-04-15 to 2022-05-04 8 draws: 2022-05-04 to 2022-05-18 4 draws: 2022-05-18 to 2022-05-25 12 draws: 2022-05-25 to 2022-06-15 2 draws: 2022-06-15 to 2022-06-18 23 draws: 2022-06-18 to 2022-07-29 4 draws: 2022-07-29 to 2022-08-05 20 draws: 2022-08-05 to 2022-09-09 7 draws: 2022-09-09 to 2022-09-21 13 draws: 2022-09-21 to 2022-10-14 18 draws: 2022-10-14 to 2022-11-15 27 draws: 2022-11-15 to 2022-12-31 26 draws: 2022-12-31 to 2023-02-15 5 draws: 2023-02-15 to 2023-02-24 17 draws: 2023-02-24 to 2023-03-25 30 draws: 2023-03-25 to 2023-05-17 11 draws: 2023-05-17 to 2023-06-06 3 draws: 2023-06-06 to 2023-06-10 13 draws: 2023-06-10 to 2023-07-04 43 draws: 2023-07-04 to 2023-09-16 23 draws: 2023-09-16 to 2023-10-27 2 draws: 2023-10-27 to 2023-10-31 2 draws: 2023-10-31 to 2023-11-03 3 draws: 2023-11-03 to 2023-11-08 5 draws: 2023-11-08 to 2023-11-17 4 draws: 2023-11-17 to 2023-11-24 3 draws: 2023-11-24 to 2023-11-29 2 draws: 2023-11-29 to 2023-12-02 20 draws: 2023-12-02 to 2024-01-06 14 draws: 2024-01-06 to 2024-01-31 12 draws: 2024-01-31 to 2024-02-21 19 draws: 2024-02-21 to 2024-03-26 2 draws: 2024-03-26 to 2024-03-29 29 draws: 2024-03-29 to 2024-05-18 23 draws: 2024-05-18 to 2024-06-28 24 draws: 2024-06-28 to 2024-08-09 34 draws: 2024-08-09 to 2024-10-08 1 draws: 2024-10-08 to 2024-10-09 25 draws: 2024-10-09 to 2024-11-22 41 draws: 2024-11-22 to 2025-02-01 9 draws: 2025-02-01 to 2025-02-18 11 draws: 2025-02-18 to 2025-03-08 26 draws: 2025-03-08 to 2025-04-23 11 draws: 2025-04-23 to 2025-05-13 11 draws: 2025-05-13 to 2025-05-31 10 draws: 2025-05-31 to 2025-06-18 6 draws: 2025-06-18 to 2025-06-28 1 draws: 2025-06-28 to 2025-07-01 26 draws: 2025-07-01 to 2025-08-15 37 draws: 2025-08-15 to 2025-10-18 40 draws: 2025-10-18 to 2025-12-27 25 draws: 2025-12-27 to 2026-02-10 13 draws: 2026-02-10 to 2026-03-04 27 draws: 2026-03-04 to 2026-04-21 13 draws: 2026-04-21 to 2026-05-13 4 draws: 2026-05-13 to 2026-05-20 6 draws: 2026-05-20 to 2026-05-30 22 draws: 2026-05-30 to 2026-07-08 16 draws: 2026-07-08 to 2026-08-05 2 draws: 2026-08-05 to 2026-08-08 8 draws: 2026-08-08 to 2026-08-22 12 draws: 2026-08-22 to 2026-09-12 5 draws: 2026-09-12 to 2026-09-22 7 draws: 2026-09-22 to 2026-10-03 Still waiting — at least 6 draws since 2026-10-03 2010-02-24 2010-02-27 2010-05-21 2010-05-26 2010-06-30 2010-10-02 2010-11-10 2011-02-16 2011-03-16 2011-04-15 2011-04-23 2011-08-12 2011-08-17 2011-09-10 2011-09-30 2011-11-04 2011-12-28 2012-01-20 2012-05-12 2012-06-06 2012-07-21 2012-09-08 2012-12-07 2012-12-08 2013-01-04 2013-01-25 2013-01-30 2013-02-15 2013-04-17 2013-04-20 2013-06-15 2013-08-17 2013-09-04 2013-10-04 2013-10-23 2013-11-13 2013-11-30 2014-01-11 2014-04-16 2014-05-28 2014-06-13 2014-07-19 2014-09-12 2015-01-09 2015-01-16 2015-03-06 2015-03-20 2015-03-27 2015-04-03 2015-04-10 2015-05-15 2015-08-29 2015-09-11 2015-10-02 2015-11-07 2015-11-11 2016-01-13 2016-01-22 2016-02-13 2016-03-05 2016-03-18 2016-04-06 2016-09-30 2016-11-12 2016-12-17 2017-01-11 2017-01-18 2017-02-10 2017-05-13 2017-05-19 2017-06-07 2017-06-16 2017-08-19 2017-10-25 2017-11-17 2017-11-18 2017-11-22 2018-01-06 2018-02-03 2018-02-06 2018-05-09 2018-05-12 2018-07-04 2018-07-20 2018-07-25 2018-08-04 2018-08-29 2018-09-05 2018-09-26 2018-09-28 2018-11-02 2018-12-05 2018-12-14 2019-01-18 2019-02-15 2019-03-02 2019-03-06 2019-06-11 2019-06-12 2019-06-28 2019-07-02 2019-08-02 2019-08-09 2019-08-17 2019-10-11 2019-10-15 2019-10-29 2019-11-19 2019-12-04 2019-12-11 2019-12-28 2020-01-31 2020-02-14 2020-02-15 2020-02-18 2020-02-26 2020-03-17 2020-05-09 2020-07-24 2020-09-18 2020-09-29 2020-10-07 2020-10-16 2020-11-17 2020-12-02 2020-12-30 2021-01-19 2021-01-27 2021-02-27 2021-03-13 2021-04-20 2021-05-07 2021-09-15 2021-10-08 2021-11-06 2022-02-08 2022-02-09 2022-04-15 2022-05-04 2022-05-18 2022-05-25 2022-06-15 2022-06-18 2022-07-29 2022-08-05 2022-09-09 2022-09-21 2022-10-14 2022-11-15 2022-12-31 2023-02-15 2023-02-24 2023-03-25 2023-05-17 2023-06-06 2023-06-10 2023-07-04 2023-09-16 2023-10-27 2023-10-31 2023-11-03 2023-11-08 2023-11-17 2023-11-24 2023-11-29 2023-12-02 2024-01-06 2024-01-31 2024-02-21 2024-03-26 2024-03-29 2024-05-18 2024-06-28 2024-08-09 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 2024-11-22 2025-02-01 2025-02-18 2025-03-08 2025-04-23 2025-05-13 2025-05-31 2025-06-18 2025-06-28 2025-07-01 2025-08-15 2025-10-18 2025-12-27 2026-02-10 2026-03-04 2026-04-21 2026-05-13 2026-05-20 2026-05-30 2026-07-08 2026-08-05 2026-08-08 2026-08-22 2026-09-12 2026-09-22 2026-10-03 2010-01-02 2026-10-14
1 draws: 13 times 2 draws: 15 times 3 draws: 9 times 4 draws: 10 times 5 draws: 11 times 6 draws: 5 times 7 draws: 5 times 8 draws: 10 times 9 draws: 10 times 10 draws: 9 times 11 draws: 9 times 12 draws: 6 times 13 draws: 8 times 14 draws: 2 times 15 draws: 4 times 16 draws: 6 times 17 draws: 2 times 18 draws: 6 times 19 draws: 4 times 20 draws: 6 times 21 draws: 3 times 22 draws: 1 time 23 draws: 5 times 24 draws: 2 times 25 draws: 3 times 26 draws: 4 times 27 draws: 4 times 28 draws: 2 times 29 draws: 1 time 30 draws: 2 times 31 draws: 2 times 32 draws: 1 time 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 1 time 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 2 times 38 draws: 1 time 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 3 times 41 draws: 2 times 42 draws: 1 time 43 draws: 2 times 44 draws: 0 times 45 draws: 0 times 46 draws: 1 time 47 draws: 1 time 48 draws: 0 times 49 draws: 1 time 50 draws: 0 times 51 draws: 1 time 52 draws: 0 times 53 draws: 2 times 54 draws: 0 times 55 draws: 1 time 56 draws: 0 times 57 draws: 0 times 58 draws: 0 times 59 draws: 0 times 60 draws: 0 times 61 draws: 0 times 62 draws: 0 times 63 draws: 0 times 64 draws: 0 times 65 draws: 0 times 66 draws: 0 times 67 draws: 0 times 68 draws: 0 times 69 draws: 0 times 70 draws: 0 times 71 draws: 0 times 72 draws: 0 times 73 draws: 0 times 74 draws: 0 times 75 draws: 1 time 76 draws: 1 time 77 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 202 · chance 202.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 13 of the other 13 numbers; chance expects about 13 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 14. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 2 →
Every draw it appeared in ← star 1 Every number star 3 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 1/14 tonight whatever it did last week.