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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 10 February 2017

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 18
  3. 20
  4. 23
  5. 37
  6. 2

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 12% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,095 of 3,063 under them

← 2017-02-08All recent draws2017-02-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 18 20 23 37 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 February 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 90% of every possible ticket.

  • sum53th
  • odd31th
  • low64th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread81th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 140 of each

4142times
18149times
20150times
23145times
37

Prize breakdown · 2017-02-10

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£507.0Kto 87k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 321%£108.6K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£153.9K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball22%£110.7K
  • 5 other tiers26%£133.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

111times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 78 of each

267times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,094 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 20, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 November 2016 — its closest relative in 1,094 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 February 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

102

The numbers add up to 102 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 1.7 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball12≈ 23 by chance£250
  • Match 4297≈ 293 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball681≈ 744 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,745≈ 7.9k by chance£10.00
  • Match 310,860≈ 9.7k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30,782≈ 31k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball36,897≈ 37k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 10,860 winners, 12% more than the 9.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball36,897£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30,782£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,745£10.00
    Match 310,860£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball681£20.00
    Match 4297£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball12£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000