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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 27 December 2025

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 21
  3. 24
  4. 26
  5. 33
  6. 2

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 17% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,898 of 3,064 under them

← 2025-12-26All recent draws2025-12-30 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 21 24 26 33 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 December 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.

  • sum61th
  • odd64th
  • low9th
  • widest gap84th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread65th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 371 of each

3376times
21384times
24379times
26395times
33

Prize breakdown · 2025-12-27

  • Lines in play≈ 1.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£770.1Kto 132k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • Match 322%£171.4K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£227.5K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball22%£168.0K
  • 5 other tiers26%£203.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

373times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 207 of each

2188times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,897 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (21, 24, 26) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 December 2025 — its closest relative in 2,897 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 December 2025): 3 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

107

The numbers add up to 107 — the 60th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 3 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 53≈ 2.6 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball26≈ 34 by chance£250
  • Match 4461≈ 445 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,021≈ 1.1k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,525≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 317,140≈ 15k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball45,491≈ 47k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball56,006≈ 56k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 17,140 winners, 17% more than the 15k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball56,006£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball45,491£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,525£10.00
    Match 317,140£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,021£20.00
    Match 4461£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball26£250
    Match 53£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000