Thunderball · every number · star deck
1
Star 1 In Thunderball under the 5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010 rules — 3,064 draws, 1 from 1–14.
Main numbers Stars 215 times drawn · chance expected 219 −0.27σ
12 draws waiting · a wait this long: 44% for any number
14.3 average wait between appearances · chance says 14.0
64 longest completed wait · 87% chance of one at least that long
1 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 215 times in 3,064 draws against 218.9 expected, −0.27σ. Each draw is independent: after 12 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
1 Number 1, draw by draw Drawn 215 times in 3,064 draws · average wait 14.3 draws · longest completed wait 64 · waiting 12 draws now
25 draws: 2010-01-02 to 2010-03-31 10 draws: 2010-03-31 to 2010-05-05 3 draws: 2010-05-05 to 2010-05-14 21 draws: 2010-05-14 to 2010-07-02 6 draws: 2010-07-02 to 2010-07-16 2 draws: 2010-07-16 to 2010-07-21 13 draws: 2010-07-21 to 2010-08-20 10 draws: 2010-08-20 to 2010-09-11 16 draws: 2010-09-11 to 2010-10-20 8 draws: 2010-10-20 to 2010-11-06 13 draws: 2010-11-06 to 2010-12-08 1 draws: 2010-12-08 to 2010-12-10 15 draws: 2010-12-10 to 2011-01-14 6 draws: 2011-01-14 to 2011-01-28 53 draws: 2011-01-28 to 2011-06-01 18 draws: 2011-06-01 to 2011-07-13 1 draws: 2011-07-13 to 2011-07-15 15 draws: 2011-07-15 to 2011-08-19 26 draws: 2011-08-19 to 2011-10-19 16 draws: 2011-10-19 to 2011-11-25 15 draws: 2011-11-25 to 2011-12-30 11 draws: 2011-12-30 to 2012-01-25 2 draws: 2012-01-25 to 2012-01-28 3 draws: 2012-01-28 to 2012-02-04 2 draws: 2012-02-04 to 2012-02-10 12 draws: 2012-02-10 to 2012-03-09 24 draws: 2012-03-09 to 2012-05-04 3 draws: 2012-05-04 to 2012-05-11 30 draws: 2012-05-11 to 2012-07-20 52 draws: 2012-07-20 to 2012-11-17 6 draws: 2012-11-17 to 2012-12-01 27 draws: 2012-12-01 to 2013-02-02 1 draws: 2013-02-02 to 2013-02-06 8 draws: 2013-02-06 to 2013-02-23 9 draws: 2013-02-23 to 2013-03-16 2 draws: 2013-03-16 to 2013-03-22 7 draws: 2013-03-22 to 2013-04-06 26 draws: 2013-04-06 to 2013-06-07 41 draws: 2013-06-07 to 2013-09-11 5 draws: 2013-09-11 to 2013-09-21 21 draws: 2013-09-21 to 2013-11-09 3 draws: 2013-11-09 to 2013-11-16 3 draws: 2013-11-16 to 2013-11-23 5 draws: 2013-11-23 to 2013-12-06 20 draws: 2013-12-06 to 2014-01-22 8 draws: 2014-01-22 to 2014-02-08 58 draws: 2014-02-08 to 2014-06-25 36 draws: 2014-06-25 to 2014-09-17 28 draws: 2014-09-17 to 2014-11-21 8 draws: 2014-11-21 to 2014-12-10 10 draws: 2014-12-10 to 2015-01-02 2 draws: 2015-01-02 to 2015-01-07 3 draws: 2015-01-07 to 2015-01-14 4 draws: 2015-01-14 to 2015-01-23 37 draws: 2015-01-23 to 2015-04-18 21 draws: 2015-04-18 to 2015-06-06 18 draws: 2015-06-06 to 2015-07-18 3 draws: 2015-07-18 to 2015-07-25 25 draws: 2015-07-25 to 2015-09-23 6 draws: 2015-09-23 to 2015-10-07 4 draws: 2015-10-07 to 2015-10-16 1 draws: 2015-10-16 to 2015-10-17 16 draws: 2015-10-17 to 2015-11-25 8 draws: 2015-11-25 to 2015-12-12 9 draws: 2015-12-12 to 2016-01-02 17 draws: 2016-01-02 to 2016-02-12 6 draws: 2016-02-12 to 2016-02-26 34 draws: 2016-02-26 to 2016-05-14 1 draws: 2016-05-14 to 2016-05-18 6 draws: 2016-05-18 to 2016-06-01 9 draws: 2016-06-01 to 2016-06-22 13 draws: 2016-06-22 to 2016-07-22 11 draws: 2016-07-22 to 2016-08-17 35 draws: 2016-08-17 to 2016-11-05 9 draws: 2016-11-05 to 2016-11-26 24 draws: 2016-11-26 to 2017-01-21 4 draws: 2017-01-21 to 2017-02-01 1 draws: 2017-02-01 to 2017-02-03 2 draws: 2017-02-03 to 2017-02-08 2 draws: 2017-02-08 to 2017-02-11 16 draws: 2017-02-11 to 2017-03-22 11 draws: 2017-03-22 to 2017-04-15 7 draws: 2017-04-15 to 2017-05-03 6 draws: 2017-05-03 to 2017-05-17 16 draws: 2017-05-17 to 2017-06-23 26 draws: 2017-06-23 to 2017-08-23 35 draws: 2017-08-23 to 2017-11-11 11 draws: 2017-11-11 to 2017-12-08 1 draws: 2017-12-08 to 2017-12-09 36 draws: 2017-12-09 to 2018-02-23 1 draws: 2018-02-23 to 2018-02-24 15 draws: 2018-02-24 to 2018-03-23 15 draws: 2018-03-23 to 2018-04-18 4 draws: 2018-04-18 to 2018-04-25 1 draws: 2018-04-25 to 2018-04-27 3 draws: 2018-04-27 to 2018-05-02 5 draws: 2018-05-02 to 2018-05-11 10 draws: 2018-05-11 to 2018-05-29 8 draws: 2018-05-29 to 2018-06-12 18 draws: 2018-06-12 to 2018-07-13 18 draws: 2018-07-13 to 2018-08-14 19 draws: 2018-08-14 to 2018-09-15 12 draws: 2018-09-15 to 2018-10-06 17 draws: 2018-10-06 to 2018-11-06 30 draws: 2018-11-06 to 2018-12-28 21 draws: 2018-12-28 to 2019-02-02 27 draws: 2019-02-02 to 2019-03-22 6 draws: 2019-03-22 to 2019-04-02 37 draws: 2019-04-02 to 2019-06-05 8 draws: 2019-06-05 to 2019-06-19 42 draws: 2019-06-19 to 2019-08-31 13 draws: 2019-08-31 to 2019-09-24 6 draws: 2019-09-24 to 2019-10-04 5 draws: 2019-10-04 to 2019-10-12 7 draws: 2019-10-12 to 2019-10-25 1 draws: 2019-10-25 to 2019-10-26 7 draws: 2019-10-26 to 2019-11-08 11 draws: 2019-11-08 to 2019-11-27 11 draws: 2019-11-27 to 2019-12-17 24 draws: 2019-12-17 to 2020-01-28 13 draws: 2020-01-28 to 2020-02-19 48 draws: 2020-02-19 to 2020-05-13 4 draws: 2020-05-13 to 2020-05-20 7 draws: 2020-05-20 to 2020-06-02 22 draws: 2020-06-02 to 2020-07-10 1 draws: 2020-07-10 to 2020-07-11 27 draws: 2020-07-11 to 2020-08-28 1 draws: 2020-08-28 to 2020-08-29 64 draws: 2020-08-29 to 2020-12-19 7 draws: 2020-12-19 to 2021-01-01 3 draws: 2021-01-01 to 2021-01-06 28 draws: 2021-01-06 to 2021-02-24 11 draws: 2021-02-24 to 2021-03-16 4 draws: 2021-03-16 to 2021-03-23 2 draws: 2021-03-23 to 2021-03-26 21 draws: 2021-03-26 to 2021-05-01 17 draws: 2021-05-01 to 2021-06-01 7 draws: 2021-06-01 to 2021-06-12 6 draws: 2021-06-12 to 2021-06-23 1 draws: 2021-06-23 to 2021-06-25 39 draws: 2021-06-25 to 2021-09-01 6 draws: 2021-09-01 to 2021-09-11 5 draws: 2021-09-11 to 2021-09-21 15 draws: 2021-09-21 to 2021-10-16 6 draws: 2021-10-16 to 2021-10-27 9 draws: 2021-10-27 to 2021-11-12 10 draws: 2021-11-12 to 2021-11-30 5 draws: 2021-11-30 to 2021-12-08 15 draws: 2021-12-08 to 2022-01-04 5 draws: 2022-01-04 to 2022-01-12 6 draws: 2022-01-12 to 2022-01-22 16 draws: 2022-01-22 to 2022-02-19 17 draws: 2022-02-19 to 2022-03-22 3 draws: 2022-03-22 to 2022-03-26 10 draws: 2022-03-26 to 2022-04-13 15 draws: 2022-04-13 to 2022-05-10 4 draws: 2022-05-10 to 2022-05-17 7 draws: 2022-05-17 to 2022-05-28 4 draws: 2022-05-28 to 2022-06-04 1 draws: 2022-06-04 to 2022-06-07 3 draws: 2022-06-07 to 2022-06-11 14 draws: 2022-06-11 to 2022-07-06 16 draws: 2022-07-06 to 2022-08-03 3 draws: 2022-08-03 to 2022-08-09 1 draws: 2022-08-09 to 2022-08-10 1 draws: 2022-08-10 to 2022-08-12 26 draws: 2022-08-12 to 2022-09-27 7 draws: 2022-09-27 to 2022-10-08 33 draws: 2022-10-08 to 2022-12-06 17 draws: 2022-12-06 to 2023-01-04 45 draws: 2023-01-04 to 2023-03-24 19 draws: 2023-03-24 to 2023-04-26 8 draws: 2023-04-26 to 2023-05-10 29 draws: 2023-05-10 to 2023-06-30 25 draws: 2023-06-30 to 2023-08-12 35 draws: 2023-08-12 to 2023-10-13 51 draws: 2023-10-13 to 2024-01-10 5 draws: 2024-01-10 to 2024-01-19 28 draws: 2024-01-19 to 2024-03-08 1 draws: 2024-03-08 to 2024-03-09 22 draws: 2024-03-09 to 2024-04-17 3 draws: 2024-04-17 to 2024-04-23 10 draws: 2024-04-23 to 2024-05-10 2 draws: 2024-05-10 to 2024-05-14 7 draws: 2024-05-14 to 2024-05-25 1 draws: 2024-05-25 to 2024-05-28 13 draws: 2024-05-28 to 2024-06-19 4 draws: 2024-06-19 to 2024-06-26 50 draws: 2024-06-26 to 2024-09-21 16 draws: 2024-09-21 to 2024-10-19 15 draws: 2024-10-19 to 2024-11-15 35 draws: 2024-11-15 to 2025-01-15 3 draws: 2025-01-15 to 2025-01-21 5 draws: 2025-01-21 to 2025-01-29 18 draws: 2025-01-29 to 2025-03-01 1 draws: 2025-03-01 to 2025-03-04 13 draws: 2025-03-04 to 2025-03-26 26 draws: 2025-03-26 to 2025-05-10 20 draws: 2025-05-10 to 2025-06-14 5 draws: 2025-06-14 to 2025-06-24 18 draws: 2025-06-24 to 2025-07-25 5 draws: 2025-07-25 to 2025-08-02 35 draws: 2025-08-02 to 2025-10-03 37 draws: 2025-10-03 to 2025-12-06 32 draws: 2025-12-06 to 2026-01-31 3 draws: 2026-01-31 to 2026-02-06 33 draws: 2026-02-06 to 2026-04-04 25 draws: 2026-04-04 to 2026-05-19 3 draws: 2026-05-19 to 2026-05-23 7 draws: 2026-05-23 to 2026-06-05 2 draws: 2026-06-05 to 2026-06-09 22 draws: 2026-06-09 to 2026-07-17 3 draws: 2026-07-17 to 2026-07-22 36 draws: 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-23 Still waiting — at least 12 draws since 2026-09-23 2010-01-02 2010-03-31 2010-05-05 2010-05-14 2010-07-02 2010-07-16 2010-07-21 2010-08-20 2010-09-11 2010-10-20 2010-11-06 2010-12-08 2010-12-10 2011-01-14 2011-01-28 2011-06-01 2011-07-13 2011-07-15 2011-08-19 2011-10-19 2011-11-25 2011-12-30 2012-01-25 2012-01-28 2012-02-04 2012-02-10 2012-03-09 2012-05-04 2012-05-11 2012-07-20 2012-11-17 2012-12-01 2013-02-02 2013-02-06 2013-02-23 2013-03-16 2013-03-22 2013-04-06 2013-06-07 2013-09-11 2013-09-21 2013-11-09 2013-11-16 2013-11-23 2013-12-06 2014-01-22 2014-02-08 2014-06-25 2014-09-17 2014-11-21 2014-12-10 2015-01-02 2015-01-07 2015-01-14 2015-01-23 2015-04-18 2015-06-06 2015-07-18 2015-07-25 2015-09-23 2015-10-07 2015-10-16 2015-10-17 2015-11-25 2015-12-12 2016-01-02 2016-02-12 2016-02-26 2016-05-14 2016-05-18 2016-06-01 2016-06-22 2016-07-22 2016-08-17 2016-11-05 2016-11-26 2017-01-21 2017-02-01 2017-02-03 2017-02-08 2017-02-11 2017-03-22 2017-04-15 2017-05-03 2017-05-17 2017-06-23 2017-08-23 2017-11-11 2017-12-08 2017-12-09 2018-02-23 2018-02-24 2018-03-23 2018-04-18 2018-04-25 2018-04-27 2018-05-02 2018-05-11 2018-05-29 2018-06-12 2018-07-13 2018-08-14 2018-09-15 2018-10-06 2018-11-06 2018-12-28 2019-02-02 2019-03-22 2019-04-02 2019-06-05 2019-06-19 2019-08-31 2019-09-24 2019-10-04 2019-10-12 2019-10-25 2019-10-26 2019-11-08 2019-11-27 2019-12-17 2020-01-28 2020-02-19 2020-05-13 2020-05-20 2020-06-02 2020-07-10 2020-07-11 2020-08-28 2020-08-29 2020-12-19 2021-01-01 2021-01-06 2021-02-24 2021-03-16 2021-03-23 2021-03-26 2021-05-01 2021-06-01 2021-06-12 2021-06-23 2021-06-25 2021-09-01 2021-09-11 2021-09-21 2021-10-16 2021-10-27 2021-11-12 2021-11-30 2021-12-08 2022-01-04 2022-01-12 2022-01-22 2022-02-19 2022-03-22 2022-03-26 2022-04-13 2022-05-10 2022-05-17 2022-05-28 2022-06-04 2022-06-07 2022-06-11 2022-07-06 2022-08-03 2022-08-09 2022-08-10 2022-08-12 2022-09-27 2022-10-08 2022-12-06 2023-01-04 2023-03-24 2023-04-26 2023-05-10 2023-06-30 2023-08-12 2023-10-13 2024-01-10 2024-01-19 2024-03-08 2024-03-09 2024-04-17 2024-04-23 2024-05-10 2024-05-14 2024-05-25 2024-05-28 2024-06-19 2024-06-26 2024-09-21 2024-10-19 2024-11-15 2025-01-15 2025-01-21 2025-01-29 2025-03-01 2025-03-04 2025-03-26 2025-05-10 2025-06-14 2025-06-24 2025-07-25 2025-08-02 2025-10-03 2025-12-06 2026-01-31 2026-02-06 2026-04-04 2026-05-19 2026-05-23 2026-06-05 2026-06-09 2026-07-17 2026-07-22 2026-09-23 2010-01-02 2026-10-14 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 19 times 2 draws: 10 times 3 draws: 17 times 4 draws: 9 times 5 draws: 11 times 6 draws: 13 times 7 draws: 11 times 8 draws: 8 times 9 draws: 5 times 10 draws: 7 times 11 draws: 7 times 12 draws: 2 times 13 draws: 7 times 14 draws: 1 time 15 draws: 9 times 16 draws: 8 times 17 draws: 5 times 18 draws: 6 times 19 draws: 2 times 20 draws: 2 times 21 draws: 5 times 22 draws: 3 times 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 3 times 25 draws: 4 times 26 draws: 5 times 27 draws: 3 times 28 draws: 3 times 29 draws: 1 time 30 draws: 2 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 1 time 33 draws: 2 times 34 draws: 1 time 35 draws: 5 times 36 draws: 3 times 37 draws: 3 times 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 1 time 40 draws: 0 times 41 draws: 1 time 42 draws: 1 time 43 draws: 0 times 44 draws: 0 times 45 draws: 1 time 46 draws: 0 times 47 draws: 0 times 48 draws: 1 time 49 draws: 0 times 50 draws: 1 time 51 draws: 1 time 52 draws: 1 time 53 draws: 1 time 54 draws: 0 times 55 draws: 0 times 56 draws: 0 times 57 draws: 0 times 58 draws: 1 time 59 draws: 0 times 60 draws: 0 times 61 draws: 0 times 62 draws: 0 times 63 draws: 0 times 64 draws: 1 time 65 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 1 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 215 · chance 215.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 13 of the other 13 numbers; chance expects about 13 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 1 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 14. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 1 →
Every draw it appeared in The other 191 appearances Lowest in the pool Every number star 2 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 1 is drawn with probability 1/14 tonight whatever it did last week.