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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 22 August 2026

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 13
  3. 18
  4. 28
  5. 31
  6. 2

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 34% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 3,034 of 3,062 under them

← 2026-08-21All recent draws2026-08-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 13 18 28 31 + 210 Oct 2026, 20:47 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 August 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.

  • sum37th
  • odd31th
  • low64th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread59th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 389 of each

2386times
13391times
18415times
28397times
31

Prize breakdown · 2026-08-22

  • Lines in play≈ 1.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.2Mto 116k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball40%£500.0K
  • Match 313%£164.7K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball16%£201.4K
  • 6 other tiers31%£380.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

404times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 217 of each

2198times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,033 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (18, 28, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 March 2026 — its closest relative in 3,033 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 August 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

92

The numbers add up to 92 — the 36th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 59≈ 2.2 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball39≈ 29 by chance£250
  • Match 4527≈ 371 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,142≈ 942 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,012≈ 10k by chance£10.00
  • Match 316,470≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball40,289≈ 39k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball46,741≈ 47k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 16,470 winners, 34% more than the 12k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball46,741£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball40,289£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,012£10.00
    Match 316,470£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,142£20.00
    Match 4527£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball39£250
    Match 59£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000