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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 22 November 2017

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 4
  3. 18
  4. 23
  5. 36
  6. 2

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 10% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,217 of 3,062 under them

← 2017-11-18All recent draws2017-11-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 4 18 23 36 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 November 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 62% of every possible ticket.

  • sum23th
  • odd31th
  • low64th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 156 of each

1151times
4163times
18168times
23159times
36

Prize breakdown · 2017-11-22

  • Lines in play≈ 1.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£659.5Kto 113k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • Match 321%£139.1K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£197.1K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball22%£144.9K
  • 5 other tiers27%£178.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

140times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 87 of each

276times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,216 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 18, 23) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 April 2017 — its closest relative in 1,216 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 November 2017): 18 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 2 repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

82

The numbers add up to 82 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 53≈ 2.3 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball27≈ 30 by chance£250
  • Match 4412≈ 384 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball819≈ 974 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,907≈ 10k by chance£10.00
  • Match 313,914≈ 13k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball39,413≈ 40k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball48,286≈ 48k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 819 winners, 16% fewer than the 974 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball48,286£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball39,413£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,907£10.00
    Match 313,914£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball819£20.00
    Match 4412£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball27£250
    Match 53£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000