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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 12 May 2018

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 25
  3. 29
  4. 37
  5. 38
  6. 2

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,306 of 3,063 under them

← 2018-05-11All recent draws2018-05-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 25 29 37 38 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 May 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 34% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd89th
  • low9th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread48th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 167 of each

11147times
25166times
29174times
37148times
38

Prize breakdown · 2018-05-12

  • Lines in play≈ 2.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£979.0Kto 175k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.28

Where the money went

  • Match 319%£190.7K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31%£306.2K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball24%£234.4K
  • 5 other tiers25%£247.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.28 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

150times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 93 of each

281times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,305 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 29, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 May 2018 — its closest relative in 1,305 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 May 2018): 11, 29, 37 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

140

The numbers add up to 140 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 54≈ 3.7 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29≈ 48 by chance£250
  • Match 4489≈ 621 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,290≈ 1.6k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,573≈ 17k by chance£10.00
  • Match 319,069≈ 20k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball61,241≈ 65k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball78,133≈ 78k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 489 winners, 21% fewer than the 621 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball78,133£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball61,241£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,573£10.00
    Match 319,069£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,290£20.00
    Match 4489£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29£250
    Match 54£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000