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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 29 July 2022

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 13
  3. 22
  4. 25
  5. 31
  6. 2

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 35% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,185 of 3,063 under them

← 2022-07-27All recent draws2022-07-30 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 13 22 25 31 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 July 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.

  • sum50th
  • odd89th
  • low31th
  • widest gap18th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread24th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 280 of each

9269times
13277times
22289times
25257times
31

Prize breakdown · 2022-07-29

  • Lines in play≈ 1.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£530.7Kto 87k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 324%£125.2K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball28%£150.9K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball20%£106.2K
  • 5 other tiers28%£148.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

297times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 156 of each

2143times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,184 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (13, 22, 25, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 July 2017 — its closest relative in 2,184 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 48% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 July 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

100

The numbers add up to 100 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 1.7 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball21≈ 22 by chance£250
  • Match 4384≈ 281 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball751≈ 714 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,961≈ 7.6k by chance£10.00
  • Match 312,522≈ 9.3k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30,183≈ 30k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball35,415≈ 35k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 12,522 winners, 35% more than the 9.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball35,415£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30,183£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,961£10.00
    Match 312,522£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball751£20.00
    Match 4384£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball21£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000