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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 15 April 2022

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 12
  3. 17
  4. 19
  5. 24
  6. 2

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 37% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,125 of 3,063 under them

← 2022-04-13All recent draws2022-04-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 12 17 19 24 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 April 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

35oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.

  • sum18th
  • odd31th
  • low89th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread11th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 272 of each

6295times
12242times
17260times
19282times
24

Prize breakdown · 2022-04-15

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.6Mto 92k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball64%£1.0M
  • Match 38.4%£131.3K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball10%£159.8K
  • 6 other tiers18%£280.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

281times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 152 of each

2137times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,124 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (6, 12, 17, 19) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 May 2011 — its closest relative in 2,124 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 47% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 April 2022): 6 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

78

The numbers add up to 78 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 1.7 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball40≈ 22 by chance£250
  • Match 4439≈ 290 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball921≈ 737 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,884≈ 7.9k by chance£10.00
  • Match 313,127≈ 9.6k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31,954≈ 30k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball36,559≈ 37k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 13,127 winners, 37% more than the 9.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball36,559£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31,954£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,884£10.00
    Match 313,127£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball921£20.00
    Match 4439£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball40£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2£500,000