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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 3 February 2018

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 13
  3. 15
  4. 17
  5. 26
  6. 2

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 41% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,250 of 3,063 under them

← 2018-02-02All recent draws2018-02-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 13 15 17 26 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 February 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.

  • sum14th
  • odd89th
  • low89th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 160 of each

3158times
13161times
15162times
17164times
26

Prize breakdown · 2018-02-03

  • Lines in play≈ 2.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.1Mto 179k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.26

Where the money went

  • Match 324%£267.4K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball27%£306.4K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball19%£216.7K
  • 5 other tiers29%£326.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.26 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

163times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 89 of each

278times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,249 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 17, 26) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 December 2017 — its closest relative in 1,249 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 February 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

74

The numbers add up to 74 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 56≈ 3.4 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball51≈ 44 by chance£250
  • Match 4915≈ 574 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,589≈ 1.5k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,041≈ 16k by chance£10.00
  • Match 326,742≈ 19k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball61,282≈ 60k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball72,231≈ 72k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 915 winners, 59% more than the 574 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball72,231£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball61,282£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,041£10.00
    Match 326,742£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,589£20.00
    Match 4915£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball51£250
    Match 56£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000