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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Wednesday, 26 September 2018 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2018-09-25 All recent draws 2018-09-28 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 4 11 28 31 38 + 2 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 September 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2018-09-26 Lines in play ≈ 1.3M as the winner counts imply Paid out £1.1M to 103k winning lines Won something 1 in 12 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 1 winner chance said 0.16 Where the money went
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 45% £500.0K Match 3 13% £139.8K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 16% £176.9K 6 other tiers 27% £296.6K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 1≈ 0.16 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
165times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 99 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,383 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 2≈ 2.0 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 28≈ 26 by chance £250
Match 4 418≈ 343 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 877≈ 871 by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 9,057≈ 9.3k by chance £10.00
Match 3 13,983≈ 11k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 35,382≈ 36k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 43,219≈ 43k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈1.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 13,983 winners, 23% more than the 11k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.