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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 16 October 2020

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 15
  3. 21
  4. 30
  5. 34
  6. 2

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 20% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,813 of 3,063 under them

← 2020-10-14All recent draws2020-10-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 15 21 30 34 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 October 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 82% of every possible ticket.

  • sum63th
  • odd31th
  • low31th
  • widest gap18th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 232 of each

8222times
15235times
21249times
30257times
34

Prize breakdown · 2020-10-16

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.0Mto 91k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball49%£500.0K
  • Match 312%£119.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball16%£159.5K
  • 5 other tiers24%£247.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

247times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 129 of each

2122times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,812 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (15, 21, 30, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 March 2018 — its closest relative in 1,812 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 42% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 October 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

108

The numbers add up to 108 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.8 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29≈ 23 by chance£250
  • Match 4333≈ 301 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball727≈ 764 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,864≈ 8.2k by chance£10.00
  • Match 311,904≈ 9.9k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31,897≈ 32k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball37,916≈ 38k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 11,904 winners, 20% more than the 9.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball37,916£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31,897£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,864£10.00
    Match 311,904£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball727£20.00
    Match 4333£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29£250
    Match 50£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000