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Thunderball · draw

Tuesday, 16 March 2021

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 20
  3. 21
  4. 22
  5. 28
  6. 1

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 27% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,899 of 3,064 under them

← 2021-03-13All recent draws2021-03-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 20 21 22 28 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 March 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.

  • sum39th
  • odd9th
  • low31th
  • widest gap84th
  • neighbours96th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 243 of each

2235times
20252times
21259times
22248times
28

Prize breakdown · 2021-03-16

  • Lines in play≈ 913kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£461.9Kto 77k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 323%£105.3K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball29%£134.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball20%£94.6K
  • 5 other tiers28%£127.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.11 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

241times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 136 of each

1133times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,898 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (20, 22, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 March 2019 — its closest relative in 1,898 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 March 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

93

The numbers add up to 93 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21, 21–22. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.5 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball32≈ 19 by chance£250
  • Match 4328≈ 250 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball647≈ 636 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball6,863≈ 6.8k by chance£10.00
  • Match 310,530≈ 8.3k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball26,930≈ 26k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball31,527≈ 32k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈913k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 10,530 winners, 27% more than the 8.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball31,527£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball26,930£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball6,863£10.00
    Match 310,530£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball647£20.00
    Match 4328£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball32£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000