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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 1 February 2017

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 18
  2. 21
  3. 25
  4. 28
  5. 35
  6. 1

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 27% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,091 of 3,062 under them

← 2017-01-28All recent draws2017-02-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed18 21 25 28 35 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 February 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 14% of every possible ticket.

  • sum87th
  • odd64th
  • low9th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread9th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 140 of each

18148times
21153times
25135times
28141times
35

Prize breakdown · 2017-02-01

  • Lines in play≈ 1.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£647.6Kto 110k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • Match 324%£153.9K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball29%£189.6K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£139.2K
  • 5 other tiers25%£164.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

115times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 78 of each

177times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,090 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (21, 25, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 December 2016 — its closest relative in 1,090 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 January 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

127

The numbers add up to 127 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 2.2 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball23≈ 28 by chance£250
  • Match 4373≈ 369 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball903≈ 936 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,371≈ 10.0k by chance£10.00
  • Match 315,392≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball37,929≈ 39k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball46,405≈ 46k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 15,392 winners, 27% more than the 12k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball46,405£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball37,929£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,371£10.00
    Match 315,392£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball903£20.00
    Match 4373£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball23£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000