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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 3 May 2017

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 24
  2. 28
  3. 33
  4. 34
  5. 37
  6. 1

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 6% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,130 of 3,064 under them

← 2017-04-29All recent draws2017-05-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed24 28 33 34 37 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 May 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

21oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 21 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum99th
  • odd31th
  • low1th
  • widest gap2th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 145 of each

24144times
28145times
33133times
34132times
37

Prize breakdown · 2017-05-03

  • Lines in play≈ 1.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£584.0Kto 106k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • Match 320%£119.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31%£178.5K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%£145.9K
  • 4 other tiers24%£140.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

118times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 81 of each

183times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,129 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (28, 33, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 December 2016 — its closest relative in 1,129 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 April 2017): 37 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

156

The numbers add up to 156 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 33–34. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 50≈ 2.3 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball22≈ 30 by chance£250
  • Match 4345≈ 386 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball730≈ 980 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,551≈ 10k by chance£10.00
  • Match 311,950≈ 13k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball35,701≈ 41k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball48,618≈ 49k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 730 winners, 26% fewer than the 980 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball48,618£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball35,701£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,551£10.00
    Match 311,950£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball730£20.00
    Match 4345£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball22£250
    Match 50£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000