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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 16 October 2021

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 11
  3. 15
  4. 29
  5. 30
  6. 1

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 53% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,022 of 3,063 under them

← 2021-10-15All recent draws2021-10-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 11 15 29 30 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 90% of every possible ticket.

  • sum39th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread24th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 259 of each

8249times
11248times
15265times
29287times
30

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-16

  • Lines in play≈ 1.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£845.5Kto 137k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • Match 326%£217.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball27%£232.5K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball19%£162.0K
  • 5 other tiers28%£234.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

286times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 144 of each

1144times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,021 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 11, 15) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 September 2021 — its closest relative in 2,021 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 October 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

93

The numbers add up to 93 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 2.5 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball39≈ 33 by chance£250
  • Match 4700≈ 429 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,249≈ 1.1k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,430≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 321,697≈ 14k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball46,503≈ 45k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball54,004≈ 54k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 21,697 winners, 53% more than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball54,004£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball46,503£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,430£10.00
    Match 321,697£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,249£20.00
    Match 4700£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball39£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000