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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 25 April 2018

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 7
  3. 11
  4. 31
  5. 34
  6. 1

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 55% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,296 of 3,063 under them

← 2018-04-24All recent draws2018-04-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 7 11 31 34 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 April 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd89th
  • low64th
  • widest gap91th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread81th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 166 of each

1161times
7168times
11145times
31188times
34

Prize breakdown · 2018-04-25

  • Lines in play≈ 1.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£646.9Kto 103k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 325%£162.2K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball27%£176.1K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball19%£119.7K
  • 5 other tiers29%£189.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

163times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 93 of each

194times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,295 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 11, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 November 2017 — its closest relative in 1,295 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 April 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

84

The numbers add up to 84 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 1.9 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29≈ 24 by chance£250
  • Match 4492≈ 317 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,106≈ 804 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,039≈ 8.6k by chance£10.00
  • Match 316,215≈ 10k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball35,226≈ 33k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball39,899≈ 40k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 16,215 winners, 55% more than the 10k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball39,899£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball35,226£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,039£10.00
    Match 316,215£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,106£20.00
    Match 4492£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000