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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 22 July 2016

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 9
  3. 13
  4. 21
  5. 24
  6. 1

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 64% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,008 of 3,062 under them

← 2016-07-20All recent draws2016-07-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 9 13 21 24 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 July 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 17% of every possible ticket.

  • sum14th
  • odd89th
  • low64th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread9th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 129 of each

7128times
9120times
13129times
21142times
24

Prize breakdown · 2016-07-22

  • Lines in play≈ 936kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£540.3Kto 83k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • Match 326%£139.3K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball26%£139.9K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball18%£97.0K
  • 5 other tiers30%£164.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

125times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 72 of each

172times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,007 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 21, 24) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 December 2015 — its closest relative in 1,007 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 July 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

74

The numbers add up to 74 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 54≈ 1.5 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball25≈ 20 by chance£250
  • Match 4464≈ 257 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball736≈ 652 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,675≈ 7.0k by chance£10.00
  • Match 313,932≈ 8.5k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball27,974≈ 27k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball32,323≈ 32k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈936k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 13,932 winners, 64% more than the 8.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball32,323£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball27,974£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,675£10.00
    Match 313,932£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball736£20.00
    Match 4464£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball25£250
    Match 54£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000