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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 26 June 2024

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 4
  3. 14
  4. 24
  5. 39
  6. 1

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 29% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,584 of 3,064 under them

← 2024-06-25All recent draws2024-06-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 4 14 24 39 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 June 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 51% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd31th
  • low64th
  • widest gap67th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread94th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 331 of each

3319times
4347times
14304times
24338times
39

Prize breakdown · 2024-06-26

  • Lines in play≈ 921kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£957.4Kto 77k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball52%£500.0K
  • Match 311%£107.4K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball14%£134.0K
  • 5 other tiers23%£215.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.11 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

318times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 185 of each

1188times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,583 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 14, 24) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 September 2023 — its closest relative in 2,583 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 June 2024): 3 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

84

The numbers add up to 84 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.5 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20≈ 19 by chance£250
  • Match 4346≈ 253 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball613≈ 641 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball6,860≈ 6.8k by chance£10.00
  • Match 310,744≈ 8.3k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball26,807≈ 27k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball31,805≈ 32k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈921k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 10,744 winners, 29% more than the 8.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball31,805£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball26,807£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball6,860£10.00
    Match 310,744£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball613£20.00
    Match 4346£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20£250
    Match 50£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000