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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Texas Two Step under the 4/35 + 1/35 · since Sep 2025 rules — 110 draws, 4 from 1–35.
Drawn 15 times in 110 draws against 12.6 expected, +0.73σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 15 times in 110 draws · average wait 7.1 draws · longest completed wait 20 · waiting 7 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 17 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 34 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 17 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 17 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | 6 | 2nd | 10171833 |
| 2026-08-27 | 16 | 3rd | 2101730 |
| 2026-07-02 | 20 | 2nd | 1172830 |
| 2026-04-23 | 1 | 2nd | 13172930 |
| 2026-04-20 | 3 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 17 is drawn with probability 4/35 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2nd |
| 5172032 |
| 2026-04-09 | 2 | 3rd | 3111725 |
| 2026-04-02 | 2 | 3rd | 1161727 |
| 2026-03-26 | 13 | 2nd | 2172324 |
| 2026-02-09 | 1 | 3rd | 13151732 |
| 2026-02-05 | 3 | 3rd | 2131725 |
| 2026-01-26 | 12 | 4th | 141217 |
| 2025-12-15 | 2 | 3rd | 5121722 |
| 2025-12-08 | 6 | 3rd | 10121720 |
| 2025-11-17 | 13 | 1st | 17192324 |
| 2025-10-02 | — | 3rd | 11141729 |