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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Texas Two Step under the 4/35 + 1/35 · since Sep 2025 rules — 109 draws, 4 from 1–35.
Drawn 15 times in 109 draws against 12.5 expected, +0.77σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 15 times in 109 draws · average wait 6.4 draws · longest completed wait 16 · waiting 8 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 19 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 6 of the other 34 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 19 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 19 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | 9 | 2nd | 18192135 |
| 2026-08-10 | 1 | 2nd | 7192130 |
| 2026-08-06 | 1 | 1st | 19202223 |
| 2026-08-03 | 5 | 3rd | 4151920 |
| 2026-07-16 | 3 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 19 is drawn with probability 4/35 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 3rd |
| 5101931 |
| 2026-07-06 | 14 | 4th | 8121319 |
| 2026-05-18 | 3 | 2nd | 14192735 |
| 2026-05-07 | 16 | 3rd | 1131922 |
| 2026-03-12 | 2 | 2nd | 6192223 |
| 2026-03-05 | 9 | 3rd | 231929 |
| 2026-02-02 | 1 | 2nd | 12192027 |
| 2026-01-29 | 7 | 1st | 19202527 |
| 2026-01-05 | 14 | 2nd | 18192427 |
| 2025-11-17 | 5 | 2nd | 17192324 |
| 2025-10-30 | — | 3rd | 9161931 |