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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Texas Two Step under the 4/35 + 1/35 · since Sep 2025 rules — 109 draws, 4 from 1–35.
Drawn 14 times in 109 draws against 12.5 expected, +0.46σ. Each draw is independent: after 18 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 14 times in 109 draws · average wait 5.3 draws · longest completed wait 14 · waiting 18 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 20 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 11 of the other 34 numbers; chance expects about 10 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 20 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 20 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | 1 | 2nd | 19202223 |
| 2026-08-03 | 14 | 4th | 4151920 |
| 2026-06-15 | 4 | 3rd | 9122021 |
| 2026-06-01 | 3 | 2nd | 18202123 |
| 2026-05-21 | 2 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 20 is drawn with probability 4/35 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2nd |
| 6202732 |
| 2026-05-14 | 7 | 2nd | 12203233 |
| 2026-04-20 | 9 | 3rd | 5172032 |
| 2026-03-19 | 1 | 2nd | 8202228 |
| 2026-03-16 | 12 | 3rd | 12142024 |
| 2026-02-02 | 1 | 3rd | 12192027 |
| 2026-01-29 | 2 | 2nd | 19202527 |
| 2026-01-22 | 6 | 3rd | 6182026 |
| 2026-01-01 | 7 | 2nd | 8202932 |
| 2025-12-08 | — | 4th | 10121720 |