In Texas Two Step under the 4/35 + 1/35 · since Sep 2025 rules — 109 draws, 4 from 1–35.
16times drawn · chance expected 12 +1.07σ
5draws waiting · a wait this long: 62% for any number
6.3average wait between appearances · chance says 8.8
27longest completed wait · 48% chance of one at least that long
5 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 16 times in 109 draws against 12.5 expected, +1.07σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
5
Number 5, draw by draw
Drawn 16 times in 109 draws · average wait 6.3 draws · longest completed wait 27 · waiting 5 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 5 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 10 of the other 34 numbers; chance expects about 8 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 5 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 5 is drawn with probability 4/35 tonight whatever it did last week.