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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Texas Two Step under the 4/35 + 1/35 · since Sep 2025 rules — 110 draws, 4 from 1–35.
Drawn 14 times in 110 draws against 12.6 expected, +0.43σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 14 times in 110 draws · average wait 7.6 draws · longest completed wait 27 · waiting 7 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 18 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 7 of the other 34 numbers; chance expects about 10 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 18 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 18 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | 2 | 3rd | 10171833 |
| 2026-09-10 | 2 | 1st | 18192135 |
| 2026-09-03 | 11 | 4th | 10111418 |
| 2026-07-27 | 11 | 1st | 18252631 |
| 2026-06-18 | 5 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 18 is drawn with probability 4/35 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 3rd |
| 151822 |
| 2026-06-01 | 10 | 1st | 18202123 |
| 2026-04-27 | 27 | 2nd | 12182329 |
| 2026-01-22 | 5 | 2nd | 6182026 |
| 2026-01-05 | 10 | 1st | 18192427 |
| 2025-12-01 | 1 | 4th | 7101418 |
| 2025-11-27 | 7 | 3rd | 13161834 |
| 2025-11-03 | 6 | 3rd | 8101831 |
| 2025-10-13 | 2 | 3rd | 461827 |
| 2025-10-06 | — | 3rd | 12161821 |