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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Texas Two Step under the 4/35 + 1/35 · since Sep 2025 rules — 109 draws, 4 from 1–35.
Drawn 15 times in 109 draws against 12.5 expected, +0.77σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 15 times in 109 draws · average wait 7.5 draws · longest completed wait 22 · waiting 1 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 14 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 7 of the other 34 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 14 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 14 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 2 | 4th | 10121314 |
| 2026-09-28 | 7 | 1st | 14232930 |
| 2026-09-03 | 21 | 3rd | 10111418 |
| 2026-06-22 | 10 | 2nd | 7142531 |
| 2026-05-18 | 4 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 14 is drawn with probability 4/35 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 1st |
| 14192735 |
| 2026-05-04 | 5 | 1st | 14222729 |
| 2026-04-16 | 7 | 3rd | 3121433 |
| 2026-03-23 | 2 | 2nd | 13142229 |
| 2026-03-16 | 22 | 2nd | 12142024 |
| 2025-12-29 | 3 | 2nd | 1141521 |
| 2025-12-18 | 5 | 1st | 14232526 |
| 2025-12-01 | 2 | 3rd | 7101418 |
| 2025-11-24 | 11 | 3rd | 471416 |
| 2025-10-16 | 4 | 3rd | 161431 |
| 2025-10-02 | — | 2nd | 11141729 |