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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Texas Two Step under the 4/35 + 1/35 · since Sep 2025 rules — 109 draws, 4 from 1–35.
Drawn 13 times in 109 draws against 12.5 expected, +0.16σ. Each draw is independent: after 9 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 13 times in 109 draws · average wait 7.6 draws · longest completed wait 16 · waiting 9 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 32 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 15 of the other 34 numbers; chance expects about 11 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 32 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 32 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | 4 | 2nd | 2323334 |
| 2026-08-24 | 16 | 4th | 1131632 |
| 2026-06-29 | 11 | 4th | 461132 |
| 2026-05-21 | 2 | 4th | 6202732 |
| 2026-05-14 | 7 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 32 is drawn with probability 4/35 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 3rd |
| 12203233 |
| 2026-04-20 | 6 | 4th | 5172032 |
| 2026-03-30 | 10 | 4th | 562732 |
| 2026-02-23 | 4 | 4th | 243032 |
| 2026-02-09 | 8 | 4th | 13151732 |
| 2026-01-12 | 3 | 4th | 8112432 |
| 2026-01-01 | 14 | 4th | 8202932 |
| 2025-11-13 | 6 | 4th | 5132932 |
| 2025-10-23 | — | 4th | 6162732 |