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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Texas Two Step under the 4/35 + 1/35 · since Sep 2025 rules — 109 draws, 4 from 1–35.
Drawn 16 times in 109 draws against 12.5 expected, +1.07σ. Each draw is independent: after 10 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 16 times in 109 draws · average wait 6.4 draws · longest completed wait 25 · waiting 10 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 12 of the other 34 numbers; chance expects about 8 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 11 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | 1 | 2nd | 10111418 |
| 2026-08-31 | 5 | 4th | 23411 |
| 2026-08-13 | 4 | 2nd | 6112326 |
| 2026-07-30 | 3 | 2nd | 5112529 |
| 2026-07-20 | 6 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 4/35 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2nd |
| 6112934 |
| 2026-06-29 | 6 | 3rd | 461132 |
| 2026-06-08 | 16 | 1st | 11122329 |
| 2026-04-13 | 1 | 2nd | 5112529 |
| 2026-04-09 | 25 | 2nd | 3111725 |
| 2026-01-12 | 1 | 2nd | 8112432 |
| 2026-01-08 | 4 | 4th | 24811 |
| 2025-12-25 | 4 | 3rd | 151134 |
| 2025-12-11 | 13 | 1st | 11133134 |
| 2025-10-27 | 5 | 3rd | 581124 |
| 2025-10-09 | 2 | 2nd | 9111323 |
| 2025-10-02 | — | 1st | 11141729 |