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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Texas Two Step under the 4/35 + 1/35 · since Sep 2025 rules — 110 draws, 4 from 1–35.
Drawn 12 times in 110 draws against 12.6 expected, −0.17σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 12 times in 110 draws · average wait 7.2 draws · longest completed wait 22 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 12 of the other 34 numbers; chance expects about 12 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | 10 | 1st | 282528 |
| 2026-09-07 | 2 | 1st | 2323334 |
| 2026-08-31 | 1 | 1st | 23411 |
| 2026-08-27 | 22 | 1st | 2101730 |
| 2026-06-11 | 22 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 4/35 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 1st |
| 26722 |
| 2026-03-26 | 5 | 1st | 2172324 |
| 2026-03-09 | 1 | 2nd | 122123 |
| 2026-03-05 | 2 | 1st | 231929 |
| 2026-02-26 | 1 | 1st | 282933 |
| 2026-02-23 | 5 | 1st | 243032 |
| 2026-02-05 | 8 | 1st | 2131725 |
| 2026-01-08 | — | 1st | 24811 |