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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Mega Millions · draw
ResultMega Millions
Jackpot$321,000,000
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/70 + 1/24 · since Apr 2025draw 156 of 156 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 3 Oct 2026, 10:11 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 155 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 40, 55) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 March 2026 — its closest relative in 155 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 24% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 179 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 178. Side-by-side numbers: 40–41. 26% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →40 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 52% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 8,072 winners, 13% fewer than the 9.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 + Mega Ball | 0 | $321,000,000 |
| Match 5 (10x Multiplier) | 0 | $10,000,000 |
| Match 5 (5x Multiplier) | 0 | $5,000,000 |
| Match 5 (4x Multiplier) | 1 | $4,000,000 |
| Match 5 (3x Multiplier) | 0 | $3,000,000 |
| Match 5 (2x Multiplier) | 0 | $2,000,000 |
| Match 4 plus Mega Ball (10x Multiplier) | 0 | $100,000 |
| Match 4 plus Mega Ball (5x Multiplier) | 0 | $50,000 |
| Match 4 plus Mega Ball (4x Multiplier) | 1 | $40,000 |
| Match 4 plus Mega Ball (3x Multiplier) | 1 | $30,000 |
| Match 4 plus Mega Ball (2x Multiplier) | 3 | $20,000 |
| Match 4 (10x Multiplier) | 2 | $5,000 |
| Match 4 (5x Multiplier) | 7 | $2,500 |
| Match 4 (4x Multiplier) | 17 | $2,000 |
| Match 4 (3x Multiplier) | 28 | $1,500 |
| Match 4 (2x Multiplier) | 55 | $1,000 |
| Match 3 plus Mega Ball (10x Multiplier) | 9 | $2,000 |
| Match 3 plus Mega Ball (5x Multiplier) | 25 | $1,000 |
| Match 3 plus Mega Ball (4x Multiplier) | 51 | $800 |
| Match 3 plus Mega Ball (3x Multiplier) | 134 | $600 |
| Match 3 plus Mega Ball (2x Multiplier) | 181 | $400 |
| Match 3 (10x Multiplier) | 273 | $100 |
| Match 3 (5x Multiplier) | 526 | $50.00 |
| Match 3 (4x Multiplier) | 1,027 |
| $40.00 |
| Match 3 (3x Multiplier) | 2,522 | $30.00 |
| Match 3 (2x Multiplier) | 3,724 | $20.00 |
| Match 2 plus Mega Ball (10x Multiplier) | 229 | $100 |
| Match 2 plus Mega Ball (5x Multiplier) | 529 | $50.00 |
| Match 2 plus Mega Ball (4x Multiplier) | 1,024 | $40.00 |
| Match 2 plus Mega Ball (3x Multiplier) | 2,399 | $30.00 |
| Match 2 plus Mega Ball (2x Multiplier) | 3,688 | $20.00 |
| Match 1 plus Mega Ball (10x Multiplier) | 2,054 | $70.00 |
| Match 1 plus Mega Ball (5x Multiplier) | 4,037 | $35.00 |
| Match 1 plus Mega Ball (4x Multiplier) | 8,026 | $28.00 |
| Match 1 plus Mega Ball (3x Multiplier) | 19,836 | $21.00 |
| Match 1 plus Mega Ball (2x Multiplier) | 29,758 | $14.00 |
| Match 0 plus Mega Ball (10x Multiplier) | 4,982 | $50.00 |
| Match 0 plus Mega Ball (5x Multiplier) | 10,018 | $25.00 |
| Match 0 plus Mega Ball (4x Multiplier) | 20,137 | $20.00 |
| Match 0 plus Mega Ball (3x Multiplier) | 50,211 | $15.00 |
| Match 0 plus Mega Ball (2x Multiplier) | 75,299 | $10.00 |
| Totals | 240,814 | — |