El Gordo de la Primitiva · every number · star deck
8
Star 8 In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 870 draws, 1 from 0–9.
Main numbers Stars 96 times drawn · chance expected 87 +1.02σ
3 draws waiting · a wait this long: 81% for any number
9.1 average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0
45 longest completed wait · 60% chance of one at least that long
8 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 96 times in 870 draws against 87.0 expected, +1.02σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
8 Number 8, draw by draw Drawn 96 times in 870 draws · average wait 9.1 draws · longest completed wait 45 · waiting 3 draws now
2 draws: 2010-01-31 to 2010-02-14 8 draws: 2010-02-14 to 2010-04-11 8 draws: 2010-04-11 to 2010-06-06 11 draws: 2010-06-06 to 2010-08-22 2 draws: 2010-08-22 to 2010-09-05 10 draws: 2010-09-05 to 2010-11-14 11 draws: 2010-11-14 to 2011-01-30 12 draws: 2011-01-30 to 2011-04-24 7 draws: 2011-04-24 to 2011-06-12 21 draws: 2011-06-12 to 2011-11-06 7 draws: 2011-11-06 to 2011-12-25 35 draws: 2011-12-25 to 2012-08-26 1 draws: 2012-08-26 to 2012-09-02 22 draws: 2012-09-02 to 2013-02-03 5 draws: 2013-02-03 to 2013-03-10 8 draws: 2013-03-10 to 2013-05-05 14 draws: 2013-05-05 to 2013-08-11 3 draws: 2013-08-11 to 2013-09-01 4 draws: 2013-09-01 to 2013-09-29 1 draws: 2013-09-29 to 2013-10-06 15 draws: 2013-10-06 to 2014-01-19 1 draws: 2014-01-19 to 2014-01-26 2 draws: 2014-01-26 to 2014-02-09 3 draws: 2014-02-09 to 2014-03-02 6 draws: 2014-03-02 to 2014-04-13 23 draws: 2014-04-13 to 2014-09-21 5 draws: 2014-09-21 to 2014-10-26 4 draws: 2014-10-26 to 2014-11-23 8 draws: 2014-11-23 to 2015-01-18 3 draws: 2015-01-18 to 2015-02-08 2 draws: 2015-02-08 to 2015-02-22 10 draws: 2015-02-22 to 2015-05-03 5 draws: 2015-05-03 to 2015-06-07 11 draws: 2015-06-07 to 2015-08-23 26 draws: 2015-08-23 to 2016-02-21 3 draws: 2016-02-21 to 2016-03-13 45 draws: 2016-03-13 to 2017-01-22 5 draws: 2017-01-22 to 2017-02-26 1 draws: 2017-02-26 to 2017-03-05 10 draws: 2017-03-05 to 2017-05-14 3 draws: 2017-05-14 to 2017-06-04 7 draws: 2017-06-04 to 2017-07-23 5 draws: 2017-07-23 to 2017-08-27 38 draws: 2017-08-27 to 2018-05-20 10 draws: 2018-05-20 to 2018-07-29 7 draws: 2018-07-29 to 2018-09-16 1 draws: 2018-09-16 to 2018-09-23 1 draws: 2018-09-23 to 2018-09-30 5 draws: 2018-09-30 to 2018-11-04 20 draws: 2018-11-04 to 2019-03-24 15 draws: 2019-03-24 to 2019-07-07 2 draws: 2019-07-07 to 2019-07-21 7 draws: 2019-07-21 to 2019-09-08 12 draws: 2019-09-08 to 2019-12-01 8 draws: 2019-12-01 to 2020-01-26 22 draws: 2020-01-26 to 2020-09-06 13 draws: 2020-09-06 to 2020-12-06 8 draws: 2020-12-06 to 2021-01-31 14 draws: 2021-01-31 to 2021-05-09 11 draws: 2021-05-09 to 2021-07-25 5 draws: 2021-07-25 to 2021-08-29 6 draws: 2021-08-29 to 2021-10-10 15 draws: 2021-10-10 to 2022-01-23 2 draws: 2022-01-23 to 2022-02-06 13 draws: 2022-02-06 to 2022-05-08 16 draws: 2022-05-08 to 2022-08-28 7 draws: 2022-08-28 to 2022-10-16 1 draws: 2022-10-16 to 2022-10-23 27 draws: 2022-10-23 to 2023-04-30 4 draws: 2023-04-30 to 2023-05-28 7 draws: 2023-05-28 to 2023-07-16 19 draws: 2023-07-16 to 2023-11-26 1 draws: 2023-11-26 to 2023-12-03 6 draws: 2023-12-03 to 2024-01-14 8 draws: 2024-01-14 to 2024-03-10 11 draws: 2024-03-10 to 2024-05-26 10 draws: 2024-05-26 to 2024-08-04 1 draws: 2024-08-04 to 2024-08-11 8 draws: 2024-08-11 to 2024-10-06 6 draws: 2024-10-06 to 2024-11-17 3 draws: 2024-11-17 to 2024-12-08 4 draws: 2024-12-08 to 2025-01-05 9 draws: 2025-01-05 to 2025-03-09 2 draws: 2025-03-09 to 2025-03-23 5 draws: 2025-03-23 to 2025-04-27 5 draws: 2025-04-27 to 2025-06-01 7 draws: 2025-06-01 to 2025-07-20 8 draws: 2025-07-20 to 2025-09-14 3 draws: 2025-09-14 to 2025-10-05 4 draws: 2025-10-05 to 2025-11-02 16 draws: 2025-11-02 to 2026-02-22 13 draws: 2026-02-22 to 2026-05-24 14 draws: 2026-05-24 to 2026-08-30 5 draws: 2026-08-30 to 2026-10-04 2 draws: 2026-10-04 to 2026-10-18 Still waiting — at least 3 draws since 2026-10-18 2010-01-31 2010-02-14 2010-04-11 2010-06-06 2010-08-22 2010-09-05 2010-11-14 2011-01-30 2011-04-24 2011-06-12 2011-11-06 2011-12-25 2012-08-26 2012-09-02 2013-02-03 2013-03-10 2013-05-05 2013-08-11 2013-09-01 2013-09-29 2013-10-06 2014-01-19 2014-01-26 2014-02-09 2014-03-02 2014-04-13 2014-09-21 2014-10-26 2014-11-23 2015-01-18 2015-02-08 2015-02-22 2015-05-03 2015-06-07 2015-08-23 2016-02-21 2016-03-13 2017-01-22 2017-02-26 2017-03-05 2017-05-14 2017-06-04 2017-07-23 2017-08-27 2018-05-20 2018-07-29 2018-09-16 2018-09-23 2018-09-30 2018-11-04 2019-03-24 2019-07-07 2019-07-21 2019-09-08 2019-12-01 2020-01-26 2020-09-06 2020-12-06 2021-01-31 2021-05-09 2021-07-25 2021-08-29 2021-10-10 2022-01-23 2022-02-06 2022-05-08 2022-08-28 2022-10-16 2022-10-23 2023-04-30 2023-05-28 2023-07-16 2023-11-26 2023-12-03 2024-01-14 2024-03-10 2024-05-26 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 2024-10-06 2024-11-17 2024-12-08 2025-01-05 2025-03-09 2025-03-23 2025-04-27 2025-06-01 2025-07-20 2025-09-14 2025-10-05 2025-11-02 2026-02-22 2026-05-24 2026-08-30 2026-10-04 2026-10-18 2010-01-03 2026-11-08 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 9 times 2 draws: 8 times 3 draws: 7 times 4 draws: 5 times 5 draws: 10 times 6 draws: 4 times 7 draws: 8 times 8 draws: 9 times 9 draws: 1 time 10 draws: 5 times 11 draws: 5 times 12 draws: 2 times 13 draws: 3 times 14 draws: 3 times 15 draws: 3 times 16 draws: 2 times 17 draws: 0 times 18 draws: 0 times 19 draws: 1 time 20 draws: 1 time 21 draws: 1 time 22 draws: 2 times 23 draws: 1 time 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 1 time 27 draws: 1 time 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 1 time 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 0 times 38 draws: 1 time 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 0 times 41 draws: 0 times 42 draws: 0 times 43 draws: 0 times 44 draws: 0 times 45 draws: 1 time 46 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 8 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 96 · chance 96.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 9 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 8 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 10. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 Culturally lucky numbers 3, 8, 9 ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 8 →
Every draw it appeared in The other 72 appearances ← star 7 Every number star 9 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 8 is drawn with probability 1/10 tonight whatever it did last week.