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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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El Gordo de la Primitiva · every number · star deck

8

Star 8

In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 870 draws, 1 from 0–9.

Main numbersStars
96times drawn · chance expected 87 +1.02σ
3draws waiting · a wait this long: 81% for any number
9.1average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0
45longest completed wait · 60% chance of one at least that long
8 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 96 times in 870 draws against 87.0 expected, +1.02σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

8

Number 8, draw by draw

Drawn 96 times in 870 draws · average wait 9.1 draws · longest completed wait 45 · waiting 3 draws now

2 draws: 2010-01-31 to 2010-02-148 draws: 2010-02-14 to 2010-04-118 draws: 2010-04-11 to 2010-06-0611 draws: 2010-06-06 to 2010-08-222 draws: 2010-08-22 to 2010-09-0510 draws: 2010-09-05 to 2010-11-1411 draws: 2010-11-14 to 2011-01-3012 draws: 2011-01-30 to 2011-04-247 draws: 2011-04-24 to 2011-06-1221 draws: 2011-06-12 to 2011-11-067 draws: 2011-11-06 to 2011-12-2535 draws: 2011-12-25 to 2012-08-261 draws: 2012-08-26 to 2012-09-0222 draws: 2012-09-02 to 2013-02-035 draws: 2013-02-03 to 2013-03-108 draws: 2013-03-10 to 2013-05-0514 draws: 2013-05-05 to 2013-08-113 draws: 2013-08-11 to 2013-09-014 draws: 2013-09-01 to 2013-09-291 draws: 2013-09-29 to 2013-10-0615 draws: 2013-10-06 to 2014-01-191 draws: 2014-01-19 to 2014-01-262 draws: 2014-01-26 to 2014-02-093 draws: 2014-02-09 to 2014-03-026 draws: 2014-03-02 to 2014-04-1323 draws: 2014-04-13 to 2014-09-215 draws: 2014-09-21 to 2014-10-264 draws: 2014-10-26 to 2014-11-238 draws: 2014-11-23 to 2015-01-183 draws: 2015-01-18 to 2015-02-082 draws: 2015-02-08 to 2015-02-2210 draws: 2015-02-22 to 2015-05-035 draws: 2015-05-03 to 2015-06-0711 draws: 2015-06-07 to 2015-08-2326 draws: 2015-08-23 to 2016-02-213 draws: 2016-02-21 to 2016-03-1345 draws: 2016-03-13 to 2017-01-225 draws: 2017-01-22 to 2017-02-261 draws: 2017-02-26 to 2017-03-0510 draws: 2017-03-05 to 2017-05-143 draws: 2017-05-14 to 2017-06-047 draws: 2017-06-04 to 2017-07-235 draws: 2017-07-23 to 2017-08-2738 draws: 2017-08-27 to 2018-05-2010 draws: 2018-05-20 to 2018-07-297 draws: 2018-07-29 to 2018-09-161 draws: 2018-09-16 to 2018-09-231 draws: 2018-09-23 to 2018-09-305 draws: 2018-09-30 to 2018-11-0420 draws: 2018-11-04 to 2019-03-2415 draws: 2019-03-24 to 2019-07-072 draws: 2019-07-07 to 2019-07-217 draws: 2019-07-21 to 2019-09-0812 draws: 2019-09-08 to 2019-12-018 draws: 2019-12-01 to 2020-01-2622 draws: 2020-01-26 to 2020-09-0613 draws: 2020-09-06 to 2020-12-068 draws: 2020-12-06 to 2021-01-3114 draws: 2021-01-31 to 2021-05-0911 draws: 2021-05-09 to 2021-07-255 draws: 2021-07-25 to 2021-08-296 draws: 2021-08-29 to 2021-10-1015 draws: 2021-10-10 to 2022-01-232 draws: 2022-01-23 to 2022-02-0613 draws: 2022-02-06 to 2022-05-0816 draws: 2022-05-08 to 2022-08-287 draws: 2022-08-28 to 2022-10-161 draws: 2022-10-16 to 2022-10-2327 draws: 2022-10-23 to 2023-04-304 draws: 2023-04-30 to 2023-05-287 draws: 2023-05-28 to 2023-07-1619 draws: 2023-07-16 to 2023-11-261 draws: 2023-11-26 to 2023-12-036 draws: 2023-12-03 to 2024-01-148 draws: 2024-01-14 to 2024-03-1011 draws: 2024-03-10 to 2024-05-2610 draws: 2024-05-26 to 2024-08-041 draws: 2024-08-04 to 2024-08-118 draws: 2024-08-11 to 2024-10-066 draws: 2024-10-06 to 2024-11-173 draws: 2024-11-17 to 2024-12-084 draws: 2024-12-08 to 2025-01-059 draws: 2025-01-05 to 2025-03-092 draws: 2025-03-09 to 2025-03-235 draws: 2025-03-23 to 2025-04-275 draws: 2025-04-27 to 2025-06-017 draws: 2025-06-01 to 2025-07-208 draws: 2025-07-20 to 2025-09-143 draws: 2025-09-14 to 2025-10-054 draws: 2025-10-05 to 2025-11-0216 draws: 2025-11-02 to 2026-02-2213 draws: 2026-02-22 to 2026-05-2414 draws: 2026-05-24 to 2026-08-305 draws: 2026-08-30 to 2026-10-042 draws: 2026-10-04 to 2026-10-18Still waiting — at least 3 draws since 2026-10-182010-01-312010-02-142010-04-112010-06-062010-08-222010-09-052010-11-142011-01-302011-04-242011-06-122011-11-062011-12-252012-08-262012-09-022013-02-032013-03-102013-05-052013-08-112013-09-012013-09-292013-10-062014-01-192014-01-262014-02-092014-03-022014-04-132014-09-212014-10-262014-11-232015-01-182015-02-082015-02-222015-05-032015-06-072015-08-232016-02-212016-03-132017-01-222017-02-262017-03-052017-05-142017-06-042017-07-232017-08-272018-05-202018-07-292018-09-162018-09-232018-09-302018-11-042019-03-242019-07-072019-07-212019-09-082019-12-012020-01-262020-09-062020-12-062021-01-312021-05-092021-07-252021-08-292021-10-102022-01-232022-02-062022-05-082022-08-282022-10-162022-10-232023-04-302023-05-282023-07-162023-11-262023-12-032024-01-142024-03-102024-05-262024-08-042024-08-112024-10-062024-11-172024-12-082025-01-052025-03-092025-03-232025-04-272025-06-012025-07-202025-09-142025-10-052025-11-022026-02-222026-05-242026-08-302026-10-042026-10-182010-01-032026-11-08

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 9 times2 draws: 8 times3 draws: 7 times4 draws: 5 times5 draws: 10 times6 draws: 4 times7 draws: 8 times8 draws: 9 times9 draws: 1 time10 draws: 5 times11 draws: 5 times12 draws: 2 times13 draws: 3 times14 draws: 3 times15 draws: 3 times16 draws: 2 times17 draws: 0 times18 draws: 0 times19 draws: 1 time20 draws: 1 time21 draws: 1 time22 draws: 2 times23 draws: 1 time24 draws: 0 times25 draws: 0 times26 draws: 1 time27 draws: 1 time28 draws: 0 times29 draws: 0 times30 draws: 0 times31 draws: 0 times32 draws: 0 times33 draws: 0 times34 draws: 0 times35 draws: 1 time36 draws: 0 times37 draws: 0 times38 draws: 1 time39 draws: 0 times40 draws: 0 times41 draws: 0 times42 draws: 0 times43 draws: 0 times44 draws: 0 times45 draws: 1 time46 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 8 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest96 · chance 96.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

No shared draws yet.

Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 9 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 8 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 10. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
  • Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
  • Culturally lucky numbers 3, 8, 9 ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 8 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2026-10-1821st8
2026-10-0451st8
2026-08-30141st8
2026-05-24131st8
2026-02-22161st8
2025-11-0241st8
2025-10-0531st8
2025-09-1481st8
2025-07-20
← star 7Every numberstar 9 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 8 is drawn with probability 1/10 tonight whatever it did last week.

7
1st
8
2025-06-0151st8
2025-04-2751st8
2025-03-2321st8
2025-03-0991st8
2025-01-0541st8
2024-12-0831st8
2024-11-1761st8
2024-10-0681st8
2024-08-1111st8
2024-08-04101st8
2024-05-26111st8
2024-03-1081st8
2024-01-1461st8
2023-12-0311st8
2023-11-26191st8
The other 72 appearances
2023-07-1671st8
2023-05-2841st8
2023-04-30271st8
2022-10-2311st8
2022-10-1671st8
2022-08-28161st8
2022-05-08131st8
2022-02-0621st8
2022-01-23151st8
2021-10-1061st8
2021-08-2951st8
2021-07-25111st8
2021-05-09141st8
2021-01-3181st8
2020-12-06131st8
2020-09-06221st8
2020-01-2681st8
2019-12-01121st8
2019-09-0871st8
2019-07-2121st8
2019-07-07151st8
2019-03-24201st8
2018-11-0451st8
2018-09-3011st8
2018-09-2311st8
2018-09-1671st8
2018-07-29101st8
2018-05-20381st8
2017-08-2751st8
2017-07-2371st8
2017-06-0431st8
2017-05-14101st8
2017-03-0511st8
2017-02-2651st8
2017-01-22451st8
2016-03-1331st8
2016-02-21261st8
2015-08-23111st8
2015-06-0751st8
2015-05-03101st8
2015-02-2221st8
2015-02-0831st8
2015-01-1881st8
2014-11-2341st8
2014-10-2651st8
2014-09-21231st8
2014-04-1361st8
2014-03-0231st8
2014-02-0921st8
2014-01-2611st8
2014-01-19151st8
2013-10-0611st8
2013-09-2941st8
2013-09-0131st8
2013-08-11141st8
2013-05-0581st8
2013-03-1051st8
2013-02-03221st8
2012-09-0211st8
2012-08-26351st8
2011-12-2571st8
2011-11-06211st8
2011-06-1271st8
2011-04-24121st8
2011-01-30111st8
2010-11-14101st8
2010-09-0521st8
2010-08-22111st8
2010-06-0681st8
2010-04-1181st8
2010-02-1421st8
2010-01-31—1st8