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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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El Gordo de la Primitiva · every number · star deck

9

Star 9

In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 870 draws, 1 from 0–9.

Main numbersStars
91times drawn · chance expected 87 +0.45σ
25draws waiting · a wait this long: 8% for any number
9.1average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0
51longest completed wait · 37% chance of one at least that long
9 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 91 times in 870 draws against 87.0 expected, +0.45σ. Each draw is independent: after 25 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

9

Number 9, draw by draw

Drawn 91 times in 870 draws · average wait 9.1 draws · longest completed wait 51 · waiting 25 draws now

6 draws: 2010-07-18 to 2010-08-292 draws: 2010-08-29 to 2010-09-1213 draws: 2010-09-12 to 2010-12-129 draws: 2010-12-12 to 2011-02-136 draws: 2011-02-13 to 2011-03-2712 draws: 2011-03-27 to 2011-06-1911 draws: 2011-06-19 to 2011-09-042 draws: 2011-09-04 to 2011-09-182 draws: 2011-09-18 to 2011-10-0211 draws: 2011-10-02 to 2011-12-182 draws: 2011-12-18 to 2012-01-0110 draws: 2012-01-01 to 2012-03-111 draws: 2012-03-11 to 2012-03-181 draws: 2012-03-18 to 2012-03-251 draws: 2012-03-25 to 2012-04-0110 draws: 2012-04-01 to 2012-06-103 draws: 2012-06-10 to 2012-07-012 draws: 2012-07-01 to 2012-07-154 draws: 2012-07-15 to 2012-08-126 draws: 2012-08-12 to 2012-09-238 draws: 2012-09-23 to 2012-11-184 draws: 2012-11-18 to 2012-12-164 draws: 2012-12-16 to 2013-01-134 draws: 2013-01-13 to 2013-02-105 draws: 2013-02-10 to 2013-03-171 draws: 2013-03-17 to 2013-03-2410 draws: 2013-03-24 to 2013-06-0216 draws: 2013-06-02 to 2013-09-2212 draws: 2013-09-22 to 2013-12-153 draws: 2013-12-15 to 2014-01-0510 draws: 2014-01-05 to 2014-03-169 draws: 2014-03-16 to 2014-05-1821 draws: 2014-05-18 to 2014-10-1216 draws: 2014-10-12 to 2015-02-0125 draws: 2015-02-01 to 2015-07-2611 draws: 2015-07-26 to 2015-10-1125 draws: 2015-10-11 to 2016-04-033 draws: 2016-04-03 to 2016-04-2410 draws: 2016-04-24 to 2016-07-032 draws: 2016-07-03 to 2016-07-173 draws: 2016-07-17 to 2016-08-0717 draws: 2016-08-07 to 2016-12-045 draws: 2016-12-04 to 2017-01-083 draws: 2017-01-08 to 2017-01-299 draws: 2017-01-29 to 2017-04-0233 draws: 2017-04-02 to 2017-11-195 draws: 2017-11-19 to 2017-12-2412 draws: 2017-12-24 to 2018-03-183 draws: 2018-03-18 to 2018-04-0847 draws: 2018-04-08 to 2019-03-0316 draws: 2019-03-03 to 2019-06-233 draws: 2019-06-23 to 2019-07-146 draws: 2019-07-14 to 2019-08-258 draws: 2019-08-25 to 2019-10-204 draws: 2019-10-20 to 2019-11-173 draws: 2019-11-17 to 2019-12-085 draws: 2019-12-08 to 2020-01-121 draws: 2020-01-12 to 2020-01-1916 draws: 2020-01-19 to 2020-07-1910 draws: 2020-07-19 to 2020-09-275 draws: 2020-09-27 to 2020-11-019 draws: 2020-11-01 to 2021-01-039 draws: 2021-01-03 to 2021-03-0710 draws: 2021-03-07 to 2021-05-162 draws: 2021-05-16 to 2021-05-304 draws: 2021-05-30 to 2021-06-2712 draws: 2021-06-27 to 2021-09-1914 draws: 2021-09-19 to 2021-12-2613 draws: 2021-12-26 to 2022-03-271 draws: 2022-03-27 to 2022-04-034 draws: 2022-04-03 to 2022-05-015 draws: 2022-05-01 to 2022-06-0522 draws: 2022-06-05 to 2022-11-061 draws: 2022-11-06 to 2022-11-137 draws: 2022-11-13 to 2023-01-016 draws: 2023-01-01 to 2023-02-1251 draws: 2023-02-12 to 2024-02-041 draws: 2024-02-04 to 2024-02-1146 draws: 2024-02-11 to 2024-12-292 draws: 2024-12-29 to 2025-01-1213 draws: 2025-01-12 to 2025-04-134 draws: 2025-04-13 to 2025-05-1111 draws: 2025-05-11 to 2025-07-271 draws: 2025-07-27 to 2025-08-031 draws: 2025-08-03 to 2025-08-107 draws: 2025-08-10 to 2025-09-282 draws: 2025-09-28 to 2025-10-124 draws: 2025-10-12 to 2025-11-0913 draws: 2025-11-09 to 2026-02-0814 draws: 2026-02-08 to 2026-05-17Still waiting — at least 25 draws since 2026-05-172010-07-182010-08-292010-09-122010-12-122011-02-132011-03-272011-06-192011-09-042011-09-182011-10-022011-12-182012-01-012012-03-112012-03-182012-03-252012-04-012012-06-102012-07-012012-07-152012-08-122012-09-232012-11-182012-12-162013-01-132013-02-102013-03-172013-03-242013-06-022013-09-222013-12-152014-01-052014-03-162014-05-182014-10-122015-02-012015-07-262015-10-112016-04-032016-04-242016-07-032016-07-172016-08-072016-12-042017-01-082017-01-292017-04-022017-11-192017-12-242018-03-182018-04-082019-03-032019-06-232019-07-142019-08-252019-10-202019-11-172019-12-082020-01-122020-01-192020-07-192020-09-272020-11-012021-01-032021-03-072021-05-162021-05-302021-06-272021-09-192021-12-262022-03-272022-04-032022-05-012022-06-052022-11-062022-11-132023-01-012023-02-122024-02-042024-02-112024-12-292025-01-122025-04-132025-05-112025-07-272025-08-032025-08-102025-09-282025-10-122025-11-092026-02-082026-05-172010-01-032026-11-08

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 10 times2 draws: 9 times3 draws: 8 times4 draws: 9 times5 draws: 6 times6 draws: 5 times7 draws: 2 times8 draws: 2 times9 draws: 5 times10 draws: 7 times11 draws: 4 times12 draws: 4 times13 draws: 4 times14 draws: 2 times15 draws: 0 times16 draws: 4 times17 draws: 1 time18 draws: 0 times19 draws: 0 times20 draws: 0 times21 draws: 1 time22 draws: 1 time23 draws: 0 times24 draws: 0 times25 draws: 2 times26 draws: 0 times27 draws: 0 times28 draws: 0 times29 draws: 0 times30 draws: 0 times31 draws: 0 times32 draws: 0 times33 draws: 1 time34 draws: 0 times35 draws: 0 times36 draws: 0 times37 draws: 0 times38 draws: 0 times39 draws: 0 times40 draws: 0 times41 draws: 0 times42 draws: 0 times43 draws: 0 times44 draws: 0 times45 draws: 0 times46 draws: 1 time47 draws: 1 time48 draws: 0 times49 draws: 0 times50 draws: 0 times51 draws: 1 time52 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 9 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest91 · chance 91.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

No shared draws yet.

Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 9 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 9 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 10. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
  • Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
  • Culturally lucky numbers 3, 8, 9 ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 9 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2026-05-17141st9
2026-02-08131st9
2025-11-0941st9
2025-10-1221st9
2025-09-2871st9
2025-08-1011st9
2025-08-0311st9
2025-07-27111st9
2025-05-11
← star 8Every numberHighest in the pool
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 9 is drawn with probability 1/10 tonight whatever it did last week.

4
1st
9
2025-04-13131st9
2025-01-1221st9
2024-12-29461st9
2024-02-1111st9
2024-02-04511st9
2023-02-1261st9
2023-01-0171st9
2022-11-1311st9
2022-11-06221st9
2022-06-0551st9
2022-05-0141st9
2022-04-0311st9
2022-03-27131st9
2021-12-26141st9
2021-09-19121st9
The other 67 appearances
2021-06-2741st9
2021-05-3021st9
2021-05-16101st9
2021-03-0791st9
2021-01-0391st9
2020-11-0151st9
2020-09-27101st9
2020-07-19161st9
2020-01-1911st9
2020-01-1251st9
2019-12-0831st9
2019-11-1741st9
2019-10-2081st9
2019-08-2561st9
2019-07-1431st9
2019-06-23161st9
2019-03-03471st9
2018-04-0831st9
2018-03-18121st9
2017-12-2451st9
2017-11-19331st9
2017-04-0291st9
2017-01-2931st9
2017-01-0851st9
2016-12-04171st9
2016-08-0731st9
2016-07-1721st9
2016-07-03101st9
2016-04-2431st9
2016-04-03251st9
2015-10-11111st9
2015-07-26251st9
2015-02-01161st9
2014-10-12211st9
2014-05-1891st9
2014-03-16101st9
2014-01-0531st9
2013-12-15121st9
2013-09-22161st9
2013-06-02101st9
2013-03-2411st9
2013-03-1751st9
2013-02-1041st9
2013-01-1341st9
2012-12-1641st9
2012-11-1881st9
2012-09-2361st9
2012-08-1241st9
2012-07-1521st9
2012-07-0131st9
2012-06-10101st9
2012-04-0111st9
2012-03-2511st9
2012-03-1811st9
2012-03-11101st9
2012-01-0121st9
2011-12-18111st9
2011-10-0221st9
2011-09-1821st9
2011-09-04111st9
2011-06-19121st9
2011-03-2761st9
2011-02-1391st9
2010-12-12131st9
2010-09-1221st9
2010-08-2961st9
2010-07-18—1st9