El Gordo de la Primitiva · every number · star deck
5
Star 5 In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 870 draws, 1 from 0–9.
Main numbers Stars 82 times drawn · chance expected 87 −0.57σ
14 draws waiting · a wait this long: 25% for any number
10.4 average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0
40 longest completed wait · 74% chance of one at least that long
5 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 82 times in 870 draws against 87.0 expected, −0.57σ. Each draw is independent: after 14 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
5 Number 5, draw by draw Drawn 82 times in 870 draws · average wait 10.4 draws · longest completed wait 40 · waiting 14 draws now
1 draws: 2010-03-07 to 2010-03-14 1 draws: 2010-03-14 to 2010-03-21 18 draws: 2010-03-21 to 2010-07-25 12 draws: 2010-07-25 to 2010-10-17 5 draws: 2010-10-17 to 2010-11-21 9 draws: 2010-11-21 to 2011-01-23 10 draws: 2011-01-23 to 2011-04-03 5 draws: 2011-04-03 to 2011-05-08 1 draws: 2011-05-08 to 2011-05-15 3 draws: 2011-05-15 to 2011-06-05 3 draws: 2011-06-05 to 2011-06-26 29 draws: 2011-06-26 to 2012-01-15 2 draws: 2012-01-15 to 2012-01-29 16 draws: 2012-01-29 to 2012-05-20 13 draws: 2012-05-20 to 2012-08-19 8 draws: 2012-08-19 to 2012-10-14 7 draws: 2012-10-14 to 2012-12-02 12 draws: 2012-12-02 to 2013-02-24 8 draws: 2013-02-24 to 2013-04-21 36 draws: 2013-04-21 to 2013-12-29 29 draws: 2013-12-29 to 2014-07-20 6 draws: 2014-07-20 to 2014-08-31 5 draws: 2014-08-31 to 2014-10-05 6 draws: 2014-10-05 to 2014-11-16 37 draws: 2014-11-16 to 2015-08-02 22 draws: 2015-08-02 to 2016-01-03 6 draws: 2016-01-03 to 2016-02-14 2 draws: 2016-02-14 to 2016-02-28 7 draws: 2016-02-28 to 2016-04-17 3 draws: 2016-04-17 to 2016-05-08 3 draws: 2016-05-08 to 2016-05-29 4 draws: 2016-05-29 to 2016-06-26 12 draws: 2016-06-26 to 2016-09-18 2 draws: 2016-09-18 to 2016-10-02 6 draws: 2016-10-02 to 2016-11-13 17 draws: 2016-11-13 to 2017-03-12 14 draws: 2017-03-12 to 2017-06-18 3 draws: 2017-06-18 to 2017-07-09 6 draws: 2017-07-09 to 2017-08-20 6 draws: 2017-08-20 to 2017-10-01 10 draws: 2017-10-01 to 2017-12-10 11 draws: 2017-12-10 to 2018-02-25 4 draws: 2018-02-25 to 2018-03-25 16 draws: 2018-03-25 to 2018-07-15 7 draws: 2018-07-15 to 2018-09-02 12 draws: 2018-09-02 to 2018-11-25 10 draws: 2018-11-25 to 2019-02-03 5 draws: 2019-02-03 to 2019-03-10 10 draws: 2019-03-10 to 2019-05-19 6 draws: 2019-05-19 to 2019-06-30 19 draws: 2019-06-30 to 2019-11-10 13 draws: 2019-11-10 to 2020-02-09 3 draws: 2020-02-09 to 2020-03-01 1 draws: 2020-03-01 to 2020-03-08 2 draws: 2020-03-08 to 2020-05-31 8 draws: 2020-05-31 to 2020-07-26 12 draws: 2020-07-26 to 2020-10-18 9 draws: 2020-10-18 to 2020-12-20 15 draws: 2020-12-20 to 2021-04-04 7 draws: 2021-04-04 to 2021-05-23 11 draws: 2021-05-23 to 2021-08-08 11 draws: 2021-08-08 to 2021-10-24 10 draws: 2021-10-24 to 2022-01-02 2 draws: 2022-01-02 to 2022-01-16 30 draws: 2022-01-16 to 2022-08-14 8 draws: 2022-08-14 to 2022-10-09 16 draws: 2022-10-09 to 2023-01-29 3 draws: 2023-01-29 to 2023-02-19 33 draws: 2023-02-19 to 2023-10-08 23 draws: 2023-10-08 to 2024-03-17 40 draws: 2024-03-17 to 2024-12-22 4 draws: 2024-12-22 to 2025-01-19 4 draws: 2025-01-19 to 2025-02-16 1 draws: 2025-02-16 to 2025-02-23 12 draws: 2025-02-23 to 2025-05-18 7 draws: 2025-05-18 to 2025-07-06 19 draws: 2025-07-06 to 2025-11-16 4 draws: 2025-11-16 to 2025-12-14 12 draws: 2025-12-14 to 2026-03-08 1 draws: 2026-03-08 to 2026-03-15 20 draws: 2026-03-15 to 2026-08-02 Still waiting — at least 14 draws since 2026-08-02 2010-03-07 2010-03-14 2010-03-21 2010-07-25 2010-10-17 2010-11-21 2011-01-23 2011-04-03 2011-05-08 2011-05-15 2011-06-05 2011-06-26 2012-01-15 2012-01-29 2012-05-20 2012-08-19 2012-10-14 2012-12-02 2013-02-24 2013-04-21 2013-12-29 2014-07-20 2014-08-31 2014-10-05 2014-11-16 2015-08-02 2016-01-03 2016-02-14 2016-02-28 2016-04-17 2016-05-08 2016-05-29 2016-06-26 2016-09-18 2016-10-02 2016-11-13 2017-03-12 2017-06-18 2017-07-09 2017-08-20 2017-10-01 2017-12-10 2018-02-25 2018-03-25 2018-07-15 2018-09-02 2018-11-25 2019-02-03 2019-03-10 2019-05-19 2019-06-30 2019-11-10 2020-02-09 2020-03-01 2020-03-08 2020-05-31 2020-07-26 2020-10-18 2020-12-20 2021-04-04 2021-05-23 2021-08-08 2021-10-24 2022-01-02 2022-01-16 2022-08-14 2022-10-09 2023-01-29 2023-02-19 2023-10-08 2024-03-17 2024-12-22 2025-01-19 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 2025-05-18 2025-07-06 2025-11-16 2025-12-14 2026-03-08 2026-03-15 2026-08-02 2010-01-03 2026-11-08
1 draws: 6 times 2 draws: 5 times 3 draws: 7 times 4 draws: 5 times 5 draws: 4 times 6 draws: 7 times 7 draws: 5 times 8 draws: 4 times 9 draws: 2 times 10 draws: 5 times 11 draws: 3 times 12 draws: 7 times 13 draws: 2 times 14 draws: 1 time 15 draws: 1 time 16 draws: 3 times 17 draws: 1 time 18 draws: 1 time 19 draws: 2 times 20 draws: 1 time 21 draws: 0 times 22 draws: 1 time 23 draws: 1 time 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 0 times 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 2 times 30 draws: 1 time 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 1 time 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 1 time 37 draws: 1 time 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 1 time 41 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 5 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 82 · chance 82.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 9 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 5 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 10. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 5 →
Every draw it appeared in ← star 4 Every number star 6 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 5 is drawn with probability 1/10 tonight whatever it did last week.