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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 17 October 2010

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 28
  2. 31
  3. 34
  4. 37
  5. 47
  6. 5

Jackpot€7,663,310

The crowdHeld 59% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 42 of 869 under them

← 2010-10-10All recent draws2010-10-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed28 31 34 37 47 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 October 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

31oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 31 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 10% of every possible ticket.

  • sum88th
  • odd66th
  • low1th
  • widest gap9th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread4th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each

288times
317times
343times
374times
47

Prize breakdown · 2010-10-17

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.7Mto 946k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.35

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€327.4K
  • 2+026%€699.2K
  • 0+137%€991.6K
  • 5 other tiers25%€664.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.35 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

4times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each

54times

Every number was expected about that many times after 41 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (28, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 June 2010 — its closest relative in 41 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 October 2010): 28 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

177

The numbers add up to 177 — the 87th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

47 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+02≈ 3.1 by chance€163,718
  • 4+149≈ 85 by chance€1,215
  • 4+0294≈ 764 by chance€236
  • 3+12,146≈ 4.1k by chance€36.99
  • 3+014,069≈ 37k by chance€18.34
  • 2+135,163≈ 64k by chance€5.64
  • 2+0233,079≈ 575k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1661,085≈ 661k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 14,069 winners, 62% fewer than the 37k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€163,718
    4+149€1,215
    4+0294€236
    3+12,146€36.99
    3+014,069€18.34
    2+135,163€5.64
    2+0233,079€3.00
    0+1661,085€1.50