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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 8 October 2023

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 13
  3. 18
  4. 40
  5. 47
  6. 5

Jackpot€5,100,000

The crowdHeld 50% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 709 of 869 under them

← 2023-10-01All recent draws2023-10-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 13 18 40 47 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

72oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 72 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 96% of every possible ticket.

  • sum39th
  • odd34th
  • low66th
  • widest gap72th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread47th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 66 of each

1063times
1367times
1866times
4063times
47

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-08

  • Lines in play≈ 4.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 454k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€150.3K
  • 2+030%€389.9K
  • 0+134%€444.4K
  • 5 other tiers24%€305.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.16 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

58times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 71 of each

569times

Every number was expected about that many times after 708 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 18, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 February 2022 — its closest relative in 708 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 October 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

128

The numbers add up to 128 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 4 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
3≈ 1.4 by chance
€50,110
  • 4+118≈ 38 by chance€1,519
  • 4+0173≈ 343 by chance€184
  • 3+11,126≈ 1.8k by chance€32.37
  • 3+08,288≈ 16k by chance€14.29
  • 2+118,159≈ 29k by chance€5.02
  • 2+0129,979≈ 258k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1296,244≈ 296k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 8,288 winners, 50% fewer than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+03€50,110
    4+118€1,519
    4+0173€184
    3+11,126€32.37
    3+08,288€14.29
    2+118,159€5.02
    2+0129,979€3.00
    0+1296,244€1.50