In Lottario Early Bird under the 4/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 4 from 1–45.
20times drawn · chance expected 10 +3.56σ
0draws waiting — it came up last time
5.5average wait between appearances · chance says 11.3
27longest completed wait · 83% chance of one at least that long
23 looks unusual on its own — and unremarkable among 45 numbers
Drawn 20 times in 107 draws against 9.5 expected, +3.56σ. Testing all 45 numbers at once means about 0.5 should look this way by luck alone, so the threshold tightens to 2.2e-4 and this does not pass it.
23
Number 23, draw by draw
Drawn 20 times in 107 draws · average wait 5.5 draws · longest completed wait 27 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 23 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 16 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 11 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 23 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 23 is drawn with probability 4/45 tonight whatever it did last week.