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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lottario Early Bird · every number
In Lottario Early Bird under the 4/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 4 from 1–45.
Drawn 9 times in 107 draws against 9.5 expected, −0.17σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 9 times in 107 draws · average wait 10.1 draws · longest completed wait 32 · waiting 6 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 41 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 24 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 24 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 41 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 41 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | 16 | 4th | 671341 |
| 2026-05-09 | 1 | 4th | 17313741 |
| 2026-05-02 | 13 | 4th | 26333741 |
| 2026-01-31 | 1 | 4th | 4264041 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 41 is drawn with probability 4/45 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 6 |
| 4th |
| 10142041 |
| 2025-12-13 | 32 | 4th | 19234041 |
| 2025-05-03 | 7 | 4th | 8353941 |
| 2025-03-15 | 5 | 4th | 492641 |
| 2025-02-08 | — | 3rd | 23394142 |