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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lottario Early Bird · every number
In Lottario Early Bird under the 4/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 4 from 1–45.
Drawn 13 times in 107 draws against 9.5 expected, +1.19σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 13 times in 107 draws · average wait 7.8 draws · longest completed wait 22 · waiting 5 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 9 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 18 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 18 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 9 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | 13 | 1st | 9103340 |
| 2026-06-06 | 8 | 2nd | 291423 |
| 2026-04-11 | 9 | 1st | 9152340 |
| 2026-02-07 | 10 | 1st | 9212327 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 9 is drawn with probability 4/45 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 10 |
| 1st |
| 9152536 |
| 2025-09-20 | 3 | 2nd | 391243 |
| 2025-08-30 | 2 | 1st | 9262840 |
| 2025-08-16 | 22 | 2nd | 491934 |
| 2025-03-15 | 9 | 2nd | 492641 |
| 2025-01-11 | 2 | 1st | 9283134 |
| 2024-12-28 | 2 | 3rd | 67936 |
| 2024-12-14 | 3 | 1st | 9223031 |
| 2024-11-23 | — | 1st | 9262933 |