Number 11

In Lottario Early Bird under the 4/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 4 from 1–45.

8times drawn · chance expected 10 −0.51σ

20draws waiting · a wait this long: 17% for any number

6.4average wait between appearances · chance says 11.3

9longest completed wait · 99% chance of one at least that long

11 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 8 times in 107 draws against 9.5 expected, −0.51σ. Each draw is independent: after 20 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 11, draw by draw

Drawn 8 times in 107 draws · average wait 6.4 draws · longest completed wait 9 · waiting 20 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest4 · chance 3.6
2nd smallest3 · chance 3.4
3rd smallest1 · chance 0.9
4th smallest0 · chance 0.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

5 24 1 7 10 13

Never drawn alongside 22 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 26 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 11 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-05-23	9	1st	11 32 40 43
2026-03-21	3	1st	11 15 17 23
2026-02-28	6	2nd	10 11 26 36
2026-01-17	9	3rd	5 7 11 39

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 4/45 tonight whatever it did last week.