Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lottario Early Bird · every number
In Lottario Early Bird under the 4/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 4 from 1–45.
Drawn 9 times in 107 draws against 9.5 expected, −0.17σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 9 times in 107 draws · average wait 12.5 draws · longest completed wait 43 · waiting 5 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 33 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 26 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 24 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 33 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 33 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | 18 | 3rd | 9103340 |
| 2026-05-02 | 1 | 2nd | 26333741 |
| 2026-04-25 | 7 | 3rd | 20213336 |
| 2026-03-07 | 9 | 3rd | 24263335 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 33 is drawn with probability 4/45 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 43 |
| 3rd |
| 23273340 |
| 2025-03-08 | 2 | 3rd | 20213338 |
| 2025-02-22 | 13 | 4th | 15212333 |
| 2024-11-23 | 7 | 4th | 9262933 |
| 2024-10-05 | — | 4th | 3192733 |